How Civil Wars Start
And How to Stop Them
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Narrated by:
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Beth Hicks
About this listen
NEW YORK TIMES BESTSELLER • A leading political scientist examines the dramatic rise in violent extremism around the globe and sounds the alarm on the increasing likelihood of a second civil war in the United States
“Required reading for anyone invested in preserving our 246-year experiment in self-government.”—The New York Times Book Review (Editors’ Choice)
WINNER OF THE GLOBAL POLICY INSTITUTE AWARD • THE SUNDAY TIMES BOOK OF THE YEAR • ONE OF THE BEST BOOKS OF THE YEAR: Financial Times, The Times (UK), Esquire, Prospect (UK)
Political violence rips apart several towns in southwest Texas. A far-right militia plots to kidnap the governor of Michigan and try her for treason. An armed mob of Trump supporters and conspiracy theorists storms the U.S. Capitol. Are these isolated incidents? Or is this the start of something bigger? Barbara F. Walter has spent her career studying civil conflict in places like Iraq, Ukraine, and Sri Lanka, but now she has become increasingly worried about her own country.
Perhaps surprisingly, both autocracies and healthy democracies are largely immune from civil war; it’s the countries in the middle ground that are most vulnerable. And this is where more and more countries, including the United States, are finding themselves today.
Over the last two decades, the number of active civil wars around the world has almost doubled. Walter reveals the warning signs—where wars tend to start, who initiates them, what triggers them—and why some countries tip over into conflict while others remain stable. Drawing on the latest international research and lessons from over twenty countries, Walter identifies the crucial risk factors, from democratic backsliding to factionalization and the politics of resentment. A civil war today won’t look like America in the 1860s, Russia in the 1920s, or Spain in the 1930s. It will begin with sporadic acts of violence and terror, accelerated by social media. It will sneak up on us and leave us wondering how we could have been so blind.
In this urgent and insightful book, Walter redefines civil war for a new age, providing the framework we need to confront the danger we now face—and the knowledge to stop it before it’s too late.
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Critic reviews
“[A] bracing manual . . . Walter’s book lays out America’s possible roads to dystopia with impressive concision. Her synthesis of the various barometers of a country heading to civil war is hard to refute when applied to the U.S. . . . Indispensable.”—Financial Times
“I wish all the [January 6] committee members would read [How Civil Wars Start] if only to expand their imaginations. [Barbara F. Walter] demonstrates that the conditions for political violence are already all around us.”—David Brooks, The New York Times
“I’ve been skeptical of the notion that the United States is on the verge of another civil war. Walter has made me reconsider. . . . This is a book that everyone in power should read immediately.”—The Washington Post
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A dramatic shift is taking place in Israel and America. In Israel, the deepening occupation of the West Bank is putting Israeli democracy at risk. In the United States, the refusal of major Jewish organizations to defend democracy in the Jewish state is alienating many young liberal Jews from Zionism itself. In the next generation, the liberal Zionist dream - the dream of a state that safeguards the Jewish people and cherishes democratic ideals - may die.
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Urgent call to save the Jewish state from itself!
- By Mushon on 07-02-12
By: Peter Beinart
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Reconciliation
- Islam, Democracy, and the West
- By: Benazir Bhutto
- Narrated by: Rita Wolf
- Length: 12 hrs and 34 mins
- Unabridged
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In Reconciliation, Bhutto recounts in gripping detail her final months in Pakistan and offers a bold new agenda for how to stem the tide of Islamic radicalism and to rediscover the values of tolerance and justice that lie at the heart of her religion.
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Female Muslim insight
- By Craig Bell on 03-07-08
By: Benazir Bhutto
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Burning Country: Syrians in Revolution and War
- By: Robin Yassin-Kassab, Leila Al-Shami
- Narrated by: Fergus Nicoll
- Length: 11 hrs and 6 mins
- Unabridged
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Burning Country explores the complicated reality of life in present-day Syria with unprecedented detail and sophistication, drawing on new first-hand testimonies from opposition fighters, exiles lost in an archipelago of refugee camps, and courageous human rights activists. Yassin-Kassab and Al-Shami expertly interweave these stories with an incisive analysis of the militarization of the uprising, the rise of the Islamists and sectarian warfare, and the role of Syria’s government in exacerbating the brutalization of the conflict.
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Definitive Account of the Syrian Revolution
- By Theo Horesh on 06-07-18
By: Robin Yassin-Kassab, and others
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The Post-American Presidency
- The Obama Administration's War on America
- By: Pamela Geller, Robert Spencer
- Narrated by: Mel Foster
- Length: 12 hrs and 15 mins
- Unabridged
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Widely popular conservative blogger Pamela Geller and New York Times best-selling author Robert Spencer team up for this battle cry about the damage being done by the current administration's policies to the institution of the American presidency.
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The real truth behind the Obama administration
- By Joyce Blue on 04-10-16
By: Pamela Geller, and others
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The Plot to Scapegoat Russia
- How the CIA and the Deep State Have Conspired to Vilify Putin
- By: Dan Kovalik Esq.
- Narrated by: Alex Hyde-White
- Length: 6 hrs and 46 mins
- Unabridged
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Since 1945, the US has justified numerous wars, interventions, and military build-ups based on the pretext of the Russian Red Menace, even after the Soviet Union collapsed at the end of 1991 and Russia stopped being Red. In fact, the two biggest post-war American conflicts, the Korean and Vietnam wars, were not, as has been frequently claimed, about stopping Soviet aggression or even influence. And now the specter of a Russian Menace has been raised again in the wake of Donald Trump's victory.
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A Great Listen!
- By Mark Andreadis on 12-29-17
By: Dan Kovalik Esq.
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Vietnam
- A New History
- By: Christopher Goscha
- Narrated by: Kirby Heyborne
- Length: 23 hrs and 42 mins
- Unabridged
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In Vietnam, Christopher Goscha tells the full history of Vietnam, from antiquity to the present day. Generations of emperors, rebels, priests, and colonizers left complicated legacies in this remarkable country. Periods of Chinese, French, and Japanese rule reshaped and modernized Vietnam, but so too did the colonial enterprises of the Vietnamese themselves as they extended their influence southward from the Red River Delta.
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Not bad, but not great.
- By Kp on 08-06-18
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American Exceptionalism and American Innocence
- A People's History of Fake News - From The Revolutionary War to The War on Terror
- By: Roberto Sirvent, Danny Haiphong, Ajamu Baraka - foreword, and others
- Narrated by: Timothy Andrés Pabon
- Length: 12 hrs and 38 mins
- Unabridged
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American Exceptionalism and American Innocence examines the stories we’re told that lead us to think that the U.S. is a force for good in the world, regardless of slavery, the genocide of indigenous people, and the more than a century’s worth of imperialist war that the U.S. has wrought on the planet. Roberto Sirvent and Danny Haiphong detail just what Captain America’s shield tells us about the pretensions of U.S. foreign policy, how Angelina Jolie and Bill Gates engage in humanitarian imperialism, and more.
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Still processing
- By D'Juan Eastman on 07-03-19
By: Roberto Sirvent, and others
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The Mighty and the Almighty
- Reflections on America, God, and World Affairs
- By: Madeleine Albright
- Narrated by: Madeleine Albright
- Length: 10 hrs and 22 mins
- Unabridged
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Does America have a special mission, derived from God, to bring liberty and democracy to the world? How much influence does the Christian right have over U.S. foreign policy? And how should America deal with violent Islamist extremists? Madeleine Albright, the former Secretary of State and best-selling author of Madam Secretary, offers a thoughtful and often surprising look at the role of religion in shaping America's approach to the world.
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The point??
- By Thomas on 11-04-06
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Israel
- A Concise History of a Nation Reborn
- By: Daniel Gordis
- Narrated by: Fred Sanders
- Length: 16 hrs and 19 mins
- Unabridged
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Israel is a tiny state, and yet it has captured the world's attention, aroused its imagination, and, lately, been the object of its opprobrium. Why does such a small country speak to so many global concerns? More pressingly: Why does Israel make the decisions it does? And what lies in its future? We cannot answer these questions until we understand Israel's people and the questions and conflicts, the hopes and desires, that have animated their conversations and actions.
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Excellent, mildly but honestly biased, terrible narration
- By Schaq on 04-01-17
By: Daniel Gordis
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The Fate of Africa
- A History of the Continent Since Independence
- By: Martin Meredith
- Narrated by: Fleet Cooper
- Length: 29 hrs and 22 mins
- Unabridged
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Martin Meredith has revised this classic history to incorporate important recent developments, including the Darfur crisis in Sudan, Robert Mugabe’s continued destructive rule in Zimbabwe, controversies over Western aid and exploitation of Africa’s resources, the growing importance and influence of China, and the democratic movement roiling the North African countries of Tunisia, Egypt, and Jordan.
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Africa: Land of Hope and Horror
- By Jeff on 03-08-14
By: Martin Meredith
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America in Retreat
- The New Isolationism and the Coming Global Disorder
- By: Bret Stephens
- Narrated by: Bret Stephens, Sean Pratt
- Length: 9 hrs and 8 mins
- Unabridged
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America in Retreat identifies a profound crisis on the global horizon. As Americans seek to withdraw from the world to tend to domestic problems, America’s adversaries spy opportunity. Vladimir Putin's ambitions to restore the glory of the czarist empire go effectively unchecked, as do China's attempts to expand its maritime claims in the South China Sea, as do Iran's efforts to develop nuclear capabilities.
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The Burden of American Exceptionalism
- By Harry Paget on 08-15-15
By: Bret Stephens
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Black Against Empire
- The History and Politics of the Black Panther Party
- By: Joshua Bloom, Waldo E. Martin Jr.
- Narrated by: Ron Butler
- Length: 18 hrs and 11 mins
- Unabridged
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In Oakland, California, in 1966, community college students Bobby Seale and Huey Newton armed themselves, began patrolling the police, and promised to prevent police brutality. Unlike the Civil Rights Movement that called for full citizenship rights for blacks within the US, the Black Panther Party rejected the legitimacy of the US government and positioned itself as part of a global struggle against American imperialism.
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the explanation of rise and fall Black Panther
- By Antwine Hurst on 03-24-17
By: Joshua Bloom, and others
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i wish shapiro narrated it
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Warning!
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In 2018, I had a dream of a coming second American Revolution/Civil War. In this dream, I saw events that are now unfolding at a rapid pace. I saw the conclusion of our present trauma, and the triumph over the evil that has been subduing our land. I saw how this victory will be accomplished. This is what I saw.
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Great story — uneven performance
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Twilight of Democracy
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From the United States and Britain to continental Europe and beyond, liberal democracy is under siege, while authoritarianism is on the rise. In Twilight of Democracy, Anne Applebaum, an award-winning historian of Soviet atrocities who was one of the first American journalists to raise an alarm about antidemocratic trends in the West, explains the lure of nationalism and autocracy. In this captivating essay, she contends that political systems with radically simple beliefs are inherently appealing, especially when they benefit the loyal to the exclusion of everyone else.
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Modern Dictators & President who wants to be them
- By AJ on 07-23-20
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End Times
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Peter Turchin, one of the most interesting social scientists of our age, has infused the study of history with approaches and insights from other fields for more than a quarter century. End Times is the culmination of his work to understand what causes political communities to cohere and what causes them to fall apart, as applied to the current turmoil within the United States.
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Boomer History
- By Kevin on 08-12-23
By: Peter Turchin
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The Culture of Narcissism
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- By: Christopher Lasch
- Narrated by: Barry Press
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When The Culture of Narcissism was first published, it was clear that Christopher Lasch had identified something important: what was happening to American society in the wake of the decline of the family over the last century. The book quickly became a best seller.
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Analysis from the 1970's good bad and ugly.
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What listeners say about How Civil Wars Start
Average customer ratingsReviews - Please select the tabs below to change the source of reviews.
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- Jesse
- 04-11-22
Critical reading/listening for the times
This book is crucial and the themes in it are woefully underreported. We are careening toward disaster with fewer and fewer chances to change course and avert crisis every day. Awareness is a start, and a necessary ingredient in solving what feels like an unsolvable problem. This book needs to be your next read/listen. It is so incredibly vital.
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2 people found this helpful
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- Karen L Colombo
- 01-22-22
Timely Commentary
I appreciated this review of the history of civil war within my lifetime. What occurred in the countries where civil war broke out and in those that skirted it. The polity scores and the concept of anocracy was well defined and eye opening.
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- Crys
- 09-26-22
Interesting and useful, but hindered by bias
I enjoyed listening to this book and found it useful. However, in the final 2 chapters I found the author got a bit off track and unacknowledged biases became much more prominent. Overall I would recommend this book, but would be frank about some of the biases and assumptions that don't seem to be recognized or acknowledged by the author.
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- Frankr24
- 02-01-22
Very Important Reading for Our Time
So worth it if all you give is a listen to the last 10 minutes.
One day they will call our time "The Madness". Professor Walter says we must regain control of Social Media's grip on our psyche and unite again as a people before we succumb to our enemies plans.
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- Ellen H.
- 09-02-24
Birds Eye rationale view
This historical and current analysis of the factors impacting devolution of democracy and supporting it is a timely read
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- Carol E.
- 01-14-22
Well-researched and well-written book.
Listened to this book in one day. Both terrifying and hopeful. Narration was well done.
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21 people found this helpful
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- davis
- 01-13-22
This was a very good history of civil wars especially in the last hundred years.
The author introduces several ways of measuring political stability and ways of predicting sliding into Civil War and makes a strong argument that the United States is closer to Civil War right now than we have been since the original Civil War in the 1860s. There’s also good advice about how to begin to deal with this before it gets further out of control.
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17 people found this helpful
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- potsherds
- 05-14-22
Ignore negative reviews whinging of "left bias"
The reviews complaining about "liberal bias" and whinging over Walter not including the much fewer numbers of leftist terror events in the past few decades when compared to the hundreds and hundreds of right-wing extremist events is such a silly example of some of the very stuff Walter is trying to discuss.
Merely discussing the worrying trends in radicalization among white evangelical Christians who are feeling themselves lose their grip on cultural, economic, and political power causes such moaning displays of grievance and outsized attacks against truth-tellers.
Walter is discussing here in this book two specific markers found in countries that are at high risk for falling into a modern-day civil war (which looks different from previous centuries' civil wars, and certainly looks *very* different when your country's military is large and sophisticated). She's not discussing her own personal research, but collective research done on a large dataset. It's findings are not negotiable just because it makes you feel sad or bad. She gives many, many examples across the globe to back it up, then moves to the U.S. to explain why here these two markers exist now and WE.ARE.IN.TROUBLE.
Anocracy and the increasing homogenization and radicalization of the GOP into a white, radical Christian, nationalist party, are the two risk factors (the ONLY two risk factors) that create the stage for civil war. Here or anywhere else where a country moves from democracy or autocracy into a mixed chaotic system of anocracy, and where groups divide not by ideology, but by racial, ethnic, and/or religious identity, the stage is set for civil war.
This is the thesis of the book, and the years of research Walter was involved in. Ignore the negative reviews by the very folks that are putting the stability and peace of the United States at risk.
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13 people found this helpful
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- Lee Ann Waltz
- 01-18-22
Like a Christmas Carol
This book was something like Dickens Christmas Carol. The stories of other civil wars was like the ghosts of Christmas past. The current state of the US is like Christmas present. The terrible future that is predicted can also be averted if the warning signs are heeded. This book was very interesting, informative, and surprisingly hopeful.
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- Andrew Williams
- 06-03-22
I saw this coming a long time ago
Unless it meets certain people's expectations it's going to be called either left or right wing bias. To me I don't interpret it as left wing cuz she doesn't really even talk about any of these things. Plus with some of the subject matter we're dealing with these days you're not given the option of being neutral. it's a pretty elementary book but that's what It is meant to be so if you're looking for something super sophisticated this is not it. What this is though is a warning. It's meant to reach a wide audience. I heard about this lady on the news then I ended up reading her book. she's a smart lady and a lot of people out there just want to hate. You only play yourself if you don't understand how things play out. While observing other countries we've realized there's a pattern so if you want to prevent civil war in the United States it's best to understand the mechanism and the agitators. People got a hard on for war but the working class usually suffers and it really doesn't help.
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3 people found this helpful