• #79 – Tamay Besiroglu on Explosive Growth from AI

  • Sep 14 2024
  • Length: 2 hrs and 9 mins
  • Podcast

#79 – Tamay Besiroglu on Explosive Growth from AI

  • Summary

  • Tamay Besiroglu is a researcher working on the intersection of economics and AI. He is currently the Associate Director of Epoch AI, a research institute investigating key trends and questions that will shape the trajectory and governance of AI.

    You can find links and a transcript at www.hearthisidea.com/episodes/besiroglu

    In this episode we talked about open source the risks and benefits of open source AI models. We talk about:

    • The argument for explosive growth from ‘increasing returns to scale’
    • Does AI need to be able to automate R&D to cause rapid growth?
    • Which theories of growth best explain the Industrial Revolution; and what do they predict from AI?
    • What happens to human incomes under near-total job automation?
    • Are regulations likely to slow down frontier AI progress enough to prevent this? Might AI go the way of nuclear power?
    • Will AI hit on resource or power limits before explosive growth? Won't it run out of data first?
    • Why aren't academic economists more interested in the prospect of explosive growth, if indeed it is so plausible?

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