Digging Deep

By: Paul Harris Kitco Media
  • Summary

  • Join a discussion with the brightest minds in the resource investing sector and learn how to navigate the complex world of mining investment. Kitco Mining's Digging Deep, hosted by Paul Harris, is your weekly appointment to understand the key trends in the resource investment space. Paul sits with experts to dissect investment trends and understand the dynamic landscape shaping the future of natural resource extraction. Digging Deep is your guide to understanding resource investment and how to profit from it.

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Episodes
  • Bumper Q3 will lure investors back to gold miners
    Sep 27 2024

    With gold prices at record levels, the September quarter will post the highest average quarterly gold price ever, and “significant margin expansion,” said Neil Adshead, consultant analyst at the Commodities Discovery Fund.

    This week Kitco correspondent Paul Harris recorded Digging Deep with Adshead.

    “It'll be great to see two or three gold mining companies far exceed the expectations of what the sell-side analysts are projecting. There'll be some bumper profits and that will definitely draw some investors into the sector. Normally, during the happy days, the maximum margins you see are in the 40% range. If we start to see a few of the higher-grade producers generating +50% margins, that would be spectacular,” said Adshead.

    Investors are starting to warm to the gold equities again with the GDX index fund up 35% year-to-date. However, with most companies still trading at less than 1x their net asset value (NAV), Adshead believes there is more share price growth to come.

    “When I first started as an investment analyst, some of the hot producers of the day were trading at 2.5x NAV. To see those multiples again would be remarkable. There is certainly a lot of room for some of these producers to trade up,” said Adshead.

    Adshead also spoke of he would like to see gold companies allocate the additional funds they are earning to mine expansions, building new mines and acquiring new projects to build.

    While a number of large financings have been announced, Adshead said it is still a selective market. The sector is not yet frothy enough to be writing checks carte blanche to juniors.

    “We are actually in a pretty good market for financing, but it is not like every junior can raise whatever dollars they want," said Adshead. "I quite like that as in a peak bull market is when you also get peak capital misallocation: when a lot of companies get money that shouldn't be getting money in the first place, or companies take far too much money than what they really need and end up wasting it,” he said.

    Adshead also commented on the Guyana Shield as a hot exploration region, Iceberg’s shorting report on Newfound Gold’s Queensway orogenic gold deposit in Newfoundland, Canada, NGEx Minerals plan for its largest ever drill program at its Lunawasi copper discovery in San Juan, Argentina, a new president in Mexico and the outlook for uranium.

    Digging Deep is brought to you by Revival Gold. Revival Gold is one of the largest, pure gold, mine developers in the United States. The Company is advancing engineering and economic studies on the Mercur Gold Project in Utah and mine permitting preparations and ongoing exploration at the Beartrack-Arnett Gold Project located in Idaho. Revival Gold is listed on the TSX Venture Exchange under the ticker symbol “RVG” and trades on the OTCQX Market under the ticker symbol “RVLGF”. The Company is headquartered in Toronto, Canada, with its exploration and development office located in Salmon, Idaho.


    Disclaimer: The views expressed in this podcast are those of the author and may not reflect those of Kitco Metals Inc. The author has made every effort to ensure accuracy of information provided; however, neither Kitco Metals Inc. nor the author can guarantee such accuracy. This article is strictly for informational purposes only. It is not a solicitation to make any exchange in commodities, securities or other financial instruments. Kitco Metals Inc. and the author of this podcast do not accept culpability for losses and/ or damages arising from the use of this publication.

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    26 mins
  • 'We're in a stealth bull market' - Nicole Adshead-Bell on generalists buying resource stocks
    Sep 20 2024

    Most resource companies lack good communication strategies, said Nicole Adshead-Bell, principal at Cupel Advisory.

    This week Adshead-Bell recorded Digging Deep with Kitco Correspondent Paul Harris at the Gold Forum Americas / XPL-DEV 2024 in Colorado.

    Gold is having a staller year, hitting several all-time highs, but equity performance has not matched expectations, particularly among juniors and developers. A select number of companies are doing well. Bell anticipates increased merger and acquisition (M&A) activity as companies seek growth opportunities, which would further investor interest in the resource sector.

    "I think there's some bifurcation. I heard a very good description at the [Precious Metals Summit Beaver Creek] conference last week, which was 'we're in a stealth bull market.'" said Adshead-Bell. "We have gold at near record highs, and yet there's not the equity performance that one would expect when we've seen this very nice performance in the underlying gold price. We haven't got the marginal investor here, but for the first time I'm seeing generalists at this conference, and I'm getting incoming calls from generalists who are starting to look at the sector."

    Bell emphasized that commodity markets, especially gold, are cyclical, and understanding the phase of the cycle is key to making informed investment decisions.

    She also discussed the challenges of messaging in the mining sector, highlighting that many CEOs struggle with effective communication, which limits investor engagement. Bell observed that poor storytelling and a lack of enthusiasm from leaders are major obstacles for companies to attract investment, especially in a competitive market.

    She stressed the importance of strong communication skills among executives, pointing to leaders like Robert Friedland and Rick Rule as examples of excellent communicators who successfully connect with both institutional and retail investors.

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    Digging Deep is brought to you by Revival Gold. Revival Gold is one of the largest, pure gold, mine developers in the United States. The Company is advancing engineering and economic studies on the Mercur Gold Project in Utah and mine permitting preparations and ongoing exploration at the Beartrack-Arnett Gold Project located in Idaho.

    Revival Gold is listed on the TSX Venture Exchange under the ticker symbol “RVG” and trades on the OTCQX Market under the ticker symbol “RVLGF”. The Company is headquartered in Toronto, Canada, with its exploration and development office located in Salmon, Idaho.


    Disclaimer: The views expressed in this podcast are those of the author and may not reflect those of Kitco Metals Inc. The author has made every effort to ensure accuracy of information provided; however, neither Kitco Metals Inc. nor the author can guarantee such accuracy. This article is strictly for informational purposes only. It is not a solicitation to make any exchange in commodities, securities or other financial instruments. Kitco Metals Inc. and the author of this podcast do not accept culpability for losses and/ or damages arising from the use of this publication.

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    22 mins
  • Gold is at an all-time high, resource stocks are jumping, so when does the market start to notice?
    Sep 13 2024

    Good gold prices are delighting several miners, said David Erfle, founder and editor of the JuniorMinerJunky.com.

    On Thursday Erfle recorded Digging Deep with Kitco correspondent Paul Harris at the 2024 Precious Metals Summit Beaver Creek in Colorado.

    Gold hitting all-time highs is a welcoming sign.

    “I've spoken with several happy management teams the past few days that have been de-risking large high margin, late-stage projects and are enjoying their respective share prices bifurcating from the sector,” said Erfle.

    Erfle noted there had been some big equity moves in recent weeks. He wondered if the moves will catch the interest of the broader investment community.

    “Will we see more generalist investors finally come back into this tiny sector after leaving over a decade ago?”

    Erfle said gold could hit $3,000 ounce by 2025. Debt worries, war and a potentially chaotic election are tailwinds for gold.

    Disclaimer: The views expressed in this podcast are those of the author and may not reflect those of Kitco Metals Inc. The author has made every effort to ensure accuracy of information provided; however, neither Kitco Metals Inc. nor the author can guarantee such accuracy. This article is strictly for informational purposes only. It is not a solicitation to make any exchange in commodities, securities or other financial instruments. Kitco Metals Inc. and the author of this podcast do not accept culpability for losses and/ or damages arising from the use of this publication.

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    22 mins

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