• How to Win Bets and Influence Elections

  • Oct 3 2024
  • Length: 49 mins
  • Podcast

How to Win Bets and Influence Elections

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  • Summary

  • Caroline Ellison, the second most important person who worked at FTX, was sentenced to prison this week. Nate and Maria talk about how she and Sam Bankman-Fried thought about making +EV bets (with other people’s money). They discuss her role – victim? villain? – and how she played out her real-life prisoner’s dilemma. Then, Nate gives an election update, and he and Maria discuss what people can do to influence the election in the final weeks. (Hint: It’s not donating to a presidential campaign.) Plus, Nate and Maria say farewell to two degenerate gamblers who passed away this week.

    Further Reading:

    Charity Navigator

    More on Betsy Paluck’s research

    Willy Nelson’s discography

    Dana Carvey’s Biden impression from SNL

    For more from Nate and Maria, subscribe to their newsletters:

    The Leap from Maria Konnikova

    Silver Bulletin from Nate Silver

    See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
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