Episodes

  • Are Real Estate Syndications Dead? w/Brian Burke and Scott Trench

    Are Real Estate Syndications Dead? w/Brian Burke and Scott Trench
    Sep 30 2024
    Are real estate syndications dead? Some multifamily syndicators are making capital calls and hiding information from investors who anxiously wait (and pray) for their money to be returned. A lot is going wrong, so should you pause investing in real estate syndications for now, or should you write them off entirely? Brian Burke, who saw it coming and sold almost everything before prices fell, is on today to give us his answer. Joining him is a fellow syndication investor and BiggerPockets CEO, Scott Trench, who’s had his fair share of syndication headaches over the past few years. We’re going back in time, talking about what exactly went wrong for multifamily syndications, why we saw a rise in untrustworthy/inexperienced syndicators entering the market, and why multifamily specifically is taking the majority of the headwinds. We’re also sharing the numbers on the almost unbelievable amount of multifamily investors who have short-term loans coming due, all at a time when interest rates are still high and values are close to (if not at) the bottom. We’ll even talk about our own failed deals and whether or not we’d continue investing in syndications. In This Episode We Cover Real estate syndications, general partners, and limited partners explained Why the multifamily real estate market is a “traffic collision” in 2024 Areas of the country with the highest/lowest risk for real estate syndications The astonishing amount of distressed investors with short-term loans coming due Our own failed investments and whether we’d still invest in syndications When multifamily real estate investments could finally rebound and become investable again And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Find Investor-Friendly Lenders See Dave and Scott at BPCON2024 in Cancun! Dave's BiggerPockets Profile Scott's BiggerPockets Profile Multifamily Is at High Risk of Continuing Its Historic Crash in 2024—Here’s Why PassivePockets Brian's BiggerPockets Profile Grab Brian's Book, “The Hands-Off Investor” Jump to topic: 00:00 Intro 01:38 Real Estate Syndications Explained 11:11 Things Have Changed 19:07 Multifamily is a “Traffic Collision” 24:29 WHERE to Invest 29:20 Underwater Syndications 38:23 Are Syndications Dead? Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-256 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email advertise@biggerpockets.com. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
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    47 mins
  • The Fed Finally Cuts Rates, but Will It Even Matter? w/NYT’s Jeanna Smialek

    The Fed Finally Cuts Rates, but Will It Even Matter? w/NYT’s Jeanna Smialek
    Sep 26 2024
    The Fed’s recent rate cut signaled something clear about the US economy, but what are they trying to say? With a bolder rate cut than many of us expected, homebuyers, business owners, and real estate investors are seeing the light at the end of the high-rate tunnel, where borrowing money and buying houses could come at a lower cost. But with markets already anticipating a rate cut, did the recent cut even really matter? Today, Federal Reserve reporter from The New York Times, Jeanna Smialek, shares her thoughts on what the Fed move meant after studying them full-time for over a decade. Jeanna believes that the Fed feels confident, even if this recent rate cut was overdue. Inflation has seen a substantial dropoff, but on the other hand, unemployment is rising, and Americans are getting nervous. Did the Fed move fast enough? Jeanna also shares the future rate cuts we can expect from the Fed, with more potentially coming this year and a sizable series of cuts already lined up for 2025. How significant will the cuts be, and will they be enough to stop unemployment from getting out of control? How will rent prices and home prices move due to more rate cuts? We’re answering it all in this episode! In This Episode We Cover The Fed’s recent 0.50% rate cut explained and their forecast for 2025 rate cuts The signal the Fed is sending by making a bigger rate cut (and preparing for more to come) Why the Fed decided NOW was the time to finally cut rates (and whether it was too late) Inflation updates and good news for the slowing of growing prices Housing affordability and whether or not these rate cuts will help homebuyers/renters And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Find Investor-Friendly Lenders See Dave at BPCON2024 in Cancun! Dave's BiggerPockets Profile Federal Reserve Cuts Rates By 0.50%, a Bigger Cut Than Expected Read More from Jeanna Get Jeanna’s Book, Limitless: The Federal Reserve Takes on a New Age of Crisis Grab Dave’s Newest Book, “Start with Strategy” Jump to topic: 00:00 Intro 01:40 The Fed Makes a BIG Move 05:31 Why Now? 07:40 Effects of a 0.50% Rate Cut 12:16 Inflation Trends 15:07 Will Home and Rent Prices Rise? 22:42 2025 Rate Cuts 27:20 How the Fed Has Changed Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-255 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email advertise@biggerpockets.com. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
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    38 mins
  • How to Know Whether You’ll Scale (or Fail) in Real Estate

    How to Know Whether You’ll Scale (or Fail) in Real Estate
    Sep 23 2024
    Your real estate business could fail if you don’t do this right. We’ve seen it happen time and time again. A business finds success, starts growing at lightning speed to capture all the demand, and then burns out, leaving the business owner or investor (i.e., YOU) cleaning up the pieces of spectacular debris. Growing your business can be a HUGE mistake, but scaling it rarely is. Today, we’re teaching you how to do just that—scaling your business to new heights so you can work less, your team (or future team) can accomplish more, and your wealth compounds in the background. And one person on the On the Market panel knows how to scale a business arguably better than anyone else—Kathy Fettke! Today, Kathy and her husband, Rich, are on to teach you how to start Scaling Smart (which is also the name of their new book!). Kathy and Rich touch on why once-giants like WeWork failed so fast, how overgrowing can kill everything you’ve worked for, how to start hiring (and who to hire first), and the “never enough” trap that can keep you working for years (or decades) longer than you should. Plus, they even coach Henry and James on their own scaling struggles! In This Episode We Cover Why “scaling” (NOT growing) your real estate business is the smartest way to build wealth The thirteen questions that will stop you from growing too fast (and failing) Defining your “why” and the reason most investors burn out even after building wealth When to start hiring employees, and what tasks you should outsource to them Incentivizing employees to work hard for you while they build their own financial freedom Being a “humble leader” and realizing that you’re NOT the best person for every job And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Property Manager Finder See Dave, Kathy, and Rich at BPCON2024 in Cancun! Henry's BiggerPockets Profile James' BiggerPockets Profile Kathy's BiggerPockets Profile Rich's BiggerPockets Profile The 3 Main Stages of Scaling Your Small Business Grab Rich and Kathy’s New Book “Scaling Smart” Jump to topic: 00:00 Intro 02:16 Why Big Companies Fail 08:00 How to NOT Overgrow 14:46 The “Never Enough” Trap 18:57 When to Start Hiring 26:04 Being a Humble Leader 26:53 Incentivizing Employees 38:19 Scale Smart and Live Your Life! Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-254 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email advertise@biggerpockets.com. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
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    50 mins
  • US Economic Outlook Significantly Stronger Than You’d Think w/Top Forecaster Joe Brusuelas

    US Economic Outlook Significantly Stronger Than You’d Think w/Top Forecaster Joe Brusuelas
    Sep 19 2024
    The US economy isn’t doing as well as you think—it’s doing even better. While mainstream media outlets and grocery prices may make you feel that the US economy is struggling, the data points to something different. Inflation is getting under control, the Fed is about to lower rates, recession risks could be shrinking, and a long-term growth trend is emerging. The American economy is leading what Joe Brusuelas calls the “global recovery.” Named 2023 “Best Rate Forecaster” by Bloomberg, Joe has an unmatched view of the economy at a macro and microeconomic level. Today, we’re talking to Joe about the state of the US economy and why it’s outperforming global players like China. Joe shares the “secret sauce” that is helping the US take center stage in global economic growth, which could keep us on course to see continued economic success for years to come. But, with China’s economy showing cracks, the Middle East conflict getting more tense by the day, and the risk of recession still top of mind, what’s next for the US economy? Joe gives his economic outlook and shares the most significant risks the US economy could face, plus why he sees a BIG Fed rate cut coming in 2025. In This Episode We Cover The state of the US economy and why we’re seeing such unmatched economic growth The “secret sauce” that makes the American economy particularly efficient China’s growing economic troubles and whether it could bleed into the US economy Fed rate cut predictions and why we may see a BIG drop in rates by this time next year Joe’s US economic forecast and the regions of the US real estate investors MUST watch Commercial real estate risks and whether we should still be worried about “the wall” of maturing debt And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Find Investor-Friendly Lenders See Dave at BPCON2024 in Cancun! Dave's BiggerPockets Profile On The Market Podcast 196 - China Falters, Israel’s Oil Danger, and Russia’s Assets Used Against Them w/Joe Brusuelas Learn More from Joe Grab Dave’s Newest Book, “Start with Strategy” Jump to topic: 00:00 Intro 01:51 US Economy is Booming 06:52 Recession Risk? 08:43 China’s Economic Trap 13:31 Will This Hurt the US? 14:45 Middle East Oil Risks 17:42 US Economic Forecast 25:27 What Commercial Crash? 27:28 Fed Rate Cuts Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-253 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email advertise@biggerpockets.com. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
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    35 mins
  • What Happens When Rates REALLY Drop? Probably Not What You Think w/Logan Mohtashami

    What Happens When Rates REALLY Drop? Probably Not What You Think w/Logan Mohtashami
    Sep 16 2024
    Are we finally at the end stages of this harsh housing market? With housing inventory increasing, mortgage rates steadily falling, and inflation cooling, we might be returning to a much healthier time to buy a house. But one of these improvements we’ve seen over the past year could begin reversing, and that’s creating some interesting future scenarios. One that even we’re surprised to hear as we bring on top housing market analyst Logan Mohtashami. Logan has referred to 2022-2023’s housing market as “savagely unhealthy,” but he’s a bit more optimistic now that we’re seeing relief. While we’re still not at 2019 inventory levels (which were already low), we’re slowly getting there. However, we could see the positive inventory trend start to reverse, leading to even more affordability problems for homebuyers. So what has to happen for affordability to see meaningful improvement? Today, Logan is giving us his take on housing inventory, where mortgage rates could be heading, and why we may NOT see a spike in home prices even if rates fall significantly (something most analysts are bullish on). In This Episode We Cover Logan’s housing market, mortgage rate, and inventory forecast Why our increasing housing inventory could reverse once rates start to fall The one thing holding affordability back and whether Logan has hopes of it improving Why watching the labor market and jobs numbers will help you predict mortgage rates Were we wrong about the “lower rates = higher home prices” premise? And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Find Investor-Friendly Lenders See Dave at BPCON2024 in Cancun! Dave's BiggerPockets Profile Learn More from Logan On The Market Podcast 86 - Here’s What Will Cause Mortgage Rates to Finally Fall w/Logan Mohtashami Know the Ins-and-Outs of Real Estate with “Real Estate by the Numbers" Jump to topic: 00:00 Intro 02:05 The "Baby Pivot" Stage 05:46 The Home Sales Recession 08:49 Housing Inventory Update 15:30 Rates Will Decline MORE If... 19:59 Mortgage Rate Forecast 24:48 When Will Affordability Improve? 29:05 Biggest Takeaways Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-252 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email advertise@biggerpockets.com. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
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    39 mins
  • Would You Vote for Any of These Market-Changing Economic Policies?

    Would You Vote for Any of These Market-Changing Economic Policies?
    Sep 12 2024
    No matter who wins your vote during the presidential debates, odds are, the housing market will still have its problems. We’ve got high building costs, low inventory, and slow bureaucratic procedures that stop homes from being built or renovated. So, what would WE do if we were in charge of the country’s economic policies, and how would we use them to make a better housing market? Welcome to the 2024 On the Market debates, where Dave, Henry, James, and Kathy duke it out over who has the best housing policy, economic plan, and…presidential slogan. We’re putting our plans out in the open for you to vote on. Dave is focusing on construction prices, Henry wants to “Make Housing Affordable Again,” Kathy is rallying to reduce government spending, and James wants to fast-track building and renovations so housing inventory can grow. Who has the best housing market policy, and are there any you’d personally want to see on the ballot come the next election? Leave a review and let us know your thoughts, or give your take over on our YouTube channel! In This Episode We Cover Four economic policies we’d put into place TODAY to save the housing market Tax breaks for investors and builders and why the government MUST incentivize affordable housing Speeding up permitting times with a plan that could help those who can’t afford home repairs Why we NEED more Americans learning the trades before it’s too late Are prefab homes the future of affordable housing in America? Here’s why Dave thinks so And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Find an Investor-Friendly Agent in Your Area See Dave at BPCON2024 in Cancun! Dave's BiggerPockets Profile Henry's BiggerPockets Profile James' BiggerPockets Profile Kathy's BiggerPockets Profile How the Financial Policies of Trump and Harris Could Impact Real Estate Investors Live Like Jett Foundation Grab Kathy’s New Book “Scaling Smart” Jump to topic: 00:00 Intro 03:57 Make Housing Affordable Again 12:31 Path of Progress 21:21 Scaling Smart 32:19 Construction is Too Expensive Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-251 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email advertise@biggerpockets.com. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
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    48 mins
  • Trump vs. Harris Economic Plans: Taxes, Affordable Housing, and Inflation

    Trump vs. Harris Economic Plans: Taxes, Affordable Housing, and Inflation
    Sep 9 2024
    How will the Trump and Harris economic plans affect your investing? One candidate is looking to increase affordable housing and give homebuyers a break on their first property. The other plans to keep taxes low so you can save more money. Both are concerned about inflation and rising costs, but will either of their plans correct the national budget deficit we constantly find ourselves in? We’re digging into the 2024 election economics on this BiggerNews episode with economist Joel Naroff. First, we’re discussing what happens economically during elections as Americans brace for a new president. Then, we dive into Harris’ economic plan and stance on inflation, cost of living, and affordable housing. She also has her eye on raising taxes for high-income earners, but will she bring things back to the pre-Trump era? Next, the Trump economic plan. Just like in his presidency, Trump plans to reduce taxes even more, which could help those on social security and those who make their income from tips. The question is, will this loss of tax revenue put too much of a dent in our government’s budget and push us further into a deficit? Could Trump’s pro-tariff stance help stimulate local manufacturing and increase tax revenue from imported goods? We’re answering it all on this BiggerNews! In This Episode We Cover Trump vs. Harris’ economic plans explained and how they may affect investors More affordable housing and Harris’ call to build millions of more housing units Trump’s plan to push foreign goods out of the US with higher import tariffs Rolling back Trump’s tax cuts and how Harris could increase taxes on corporations and high-earners Social security income and the benefit (but high cost) of lowering taxes on it How both of these plans could affect the national budget deficit And So Much More! Links from the Show Stay Updated on Investing News with the BiggerPockets Blog Join BiggerPockets for FREE Let Us Know What You Thought of the Show! Find an Investor-Friendly Agent in Your Area See Dave at BPCON2024 in Cancun! Dave's BiggerPockets Profile Naroff Economics How the Financial Policies of Trump and Harris Could Impact Real Estate Investors Grab Dave’s Latest Book, “Start with Strategy” Jump to topic: 00:00 Intro 01:52 Election Economics 03:42 Harris’ Plan 8:38 More Affordable Housing? 12:16 Higher Taxes? 15:10 Trump’s Plan 19:11 More Social Security Income? 21:47 Eliminating Taxes on Tips 24:22 National Budget Deficit Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-250 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email advertise@biggerpockets.com. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
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    33 mins
  • Job Numbers Turn Out to Be Overinflated, Will the Fed Make a Hard Pivot?

    Job Numbers Turn Out to Be Overinflated, Will the Fed Make a Hard Pivot?
    Sep 5 2024
    One startup is aiming to end traditional real estate commissions for good. Jobs numbers get their most significant downgrade in over a decade, forcing the Fed to rethink its rate-cutting schedule. And if that wasn’t enough, home sales fell in a historically hot month of the housing market. But are the expert investors worried? In this headlines episode, we’re sharing the latest news affecting the housing market and what YOU can do now to still make money in real estate, no matter the headline hype. First, we’re talking about the latest home sales numbers. With a slow summer homebuying season, we may return to a “balanced” market where investors can thrive if they know what they’re doing. What could bring more demand to the market? Lower mortgage rates. And with the latest revision on job numbers, downgrading job growth significantly, the Fed may be forced to pivot and make bigger moves when cutting rates. Will it happen? Lastly, we’ll discuss the new state of real estate agent commissions. After the groundbreaking NAR lawsuit that put agent commissions in limbo, a new startup has set out to offer flat-fee real estate agent services in an à la carte fashion. Will paying just a few hundred dollars get you the level of agent experience you need to close better real estate deals? We’re discussing it all in this episode! In This Episode We Cover The new real estate startup that could put traditional agent commissions in jeopardy What investors should know as home sales drop and whether it's an opportunity Planning for mortgage rates to fall and how to build in more investing upside if they do The latest job numbers REVISION putting our economy in a different spot than we thought Whether or not the Fed will change course now that job numbers don’t look as strong And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Find an Investor-Friendly Agent in Your Area See James, Kathy, and Henry at BPCON2024 in Cancun! Henry's BiggerPockets Profile James' BiggerPockets Profile Kathy's BiggerPockets Profile The NAR Will Eliminate 6% Commission Standards and Pay $418 Million in Damages After Settling Lawsuit Two Things The Latest Home Sales Numbers Say About The Real Estate Market U.S. job growth revised down by the most since 2009 After winning a landmark case against real estate agents, this startup aims to replace them with a flat fee Economic Confidence Up Slightly in August Pre-Order Kathy’s New Book “Scaling Smart” Jump to topic: 00:00 Intro 01:15 Home Sales, Prices Drop 11:15 Planning for Rates to Fall 17:33 Job Numbers Get Revised 28:07 Agents Go Flat-Fee Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-249 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email advertise@biggerpockets.com. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
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    46 mins