• Calculating Risks in a Creative Life, with Brian Koppelman
    Sep 5 2024

    Maria sits down with the great Brian Koppelman (Rounders, Billions, The Bear) to learn about how he navigates risk in Hollywood and beyond. They discuss his methods of determining when a risk is worth taking, how to offset risk with hard work, and the time he bet big on Billions.

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    The Leap from Maria Konnikova

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    48 mins
  • Amazing Frauds, Faking Your Own Death, and the Latest on the Election
    Aug 29 2024

    Nate and Maria briefly discuss the latest election news. Then Tim Harford, author and host of Cautionary Tales, joins to discuss two of history’s most compelling con artists: Sam Israel III and John Law. Risk-related lessons are learned.

    Further Reading:

    A Con Man Who Lives Between Truth and Fiction from the New York Times

    The Murderer, The Boy King, and The Invention of Modern Finance from NPR (featuring our EP Jacob Goldstein!)

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    The Leap from Maria Konnikova

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    55 mins
  • Kamala Edition: Taxes, Tariffs, and the DNC
    Aug 21 2024

    This week Nate and Maria discuss the state of Kamala Harris’ presidential bid, including taking a look at her first policy proposals on price gouging and taxes on tips.

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    The Leap from Maria Konnikova

    Silver Bulletin from Nate Silver

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    40 mins
  • Lessons from The River (Maria Interviews Nate About His Book)
    Aug 15 2024

    Nate’s book “On the Edge” is out this week! (Get your copy here.) Maria interviews Nate about the origins of the book, what extreme risk takers get right and wrong, and the year Nate bet a million dollars on sports.

    Check out the Risky Business YouTube channel here: https://www.youtube.com/@RiskyBusinessShow

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    The Leap from Maria Konnikova

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    43 mins
  • Taking Risks in Business, Poker, and Life (with Bill Perkins)
    Aug 8 2024

    Maria sits down with Bill Perkins, the legendary energy trader, to talk about his approach to risk in business, poker, and life.

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    The Leap from Maria Konnikova

    Silver Bulletin from Nate Silver

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    41 mins
  • Kamala Mode, Misinformation, and Winning the WSOP
    Aug 1 2024

    Nate’s election model is back on, and it’s in Kamala Mode. Nate and Maria discuss what the model shows us about Kamala Harris’ chances, and the strange election misinformation that has been going around. Then, they are joined by World Series of Poker Main Event winner Jonathan Tamayo to discuss his win – and the controversy that surrounds it.

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    The Leap from Maria Konnikova

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    46 mins
  • Betting on Kamala Harris (with special guest Matt Glassman)
    Jul 23 2024

    Biden’s out of the race! Matt Glassman joins Nate to talk about what the consolidation behind Kamala Harris reveals about party politics and who she might pick for a running mate.

    Further Reading:

    Why Biden Finally Quit from Politico

    Can Harris Beat Trump? from New York Magazine

    What a Kamala Harris Presidency Might Look Like from Semafor

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    The Leap from Maria Konnikova

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    37 mins
  • Conspiracy Theories, J.D. Vance, and Jury Duty
    Jul 18 2024

    Nate and Maria discuss the assassination attempt on Donald Trump and the psychology of conspiracy theorists. They talk about what Trump’s selection of J.D. Vance means for the election. And they parse the latest in the Democrats’ intra-party fight over Biden.

    Also on the show: Nate’s day at jury duty is a case study in bad bluffs.

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    The Leap from Maria Konnikova

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    45 mins