Shifting Tides: Cannabis Industry Update Mid-May 2025 - Expansions, Tax Changes, and Federal Tensions
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Shifting Tides: Cannabis Industry Update Mid-May 2025 - Expansions, Tax Changes, and Federal Tensions
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The cannabis industry continues to see significant legislative movement this week. In Texas, House Bill 46 is advancing to the Senate, which would expand the state's medical marijuana program to include more health conditions and introduce smokeable products[1]. This represents a potential expansion of the market in a traditionally conservative state.
California faces a major tax change as the state cannabis tax rate is set to increase from 15% to 19% on July 1, making it the highest in the nation. Industry advocates warn this could force business closures as legal cannabis prices would rise further above illicit market rates. In response, the Assembly Revenue and Taxation Committee unanimously advanced Assembly Bill 564 to prevent this increase[2].
In Washington D.C., tensions between federal and local cannabis regulations surfaced when District Attorney Edward Martin Jr. issued a warning letter to Green Theory dispensary about potential federal violations due to proximity to schools. Meanwhile, Rep. Eleanor Holmes Norton announced efforts to remove restrictions that have prevented a commercial cannabis market in D.C.[2]
Former President Trump has made headlines by nominating a cannabis company board member as a federal prosecutor, potentially signaling a shift in federal cannabis policy perspectives[3].
Looking at regulatory developments, California implemented new Proposition 65 "short-form" warning requirements on January 1, affecting cannabis businesses as both cannabis smoke and THC are listed as carcinogens or reproductive toxicants[4].
The cannabis industry continues its growth trajectory, with some analysts projecting the global legal market could reach $75 billion in sales by 2030, potentially surpassing industries like soda[5]. Major corporations from tobacco and beverage sectors have already begun positioning themselves in anticipation of further legalization, though public health advocates express concerns about big tobacco's potential entry into the market[5].
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