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The Griff Report

The Griff Report

By: John Griffin
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  • The Griff Report - Pro Baseball Edition - May 8th 2025
    May 8 2025
    MLB

    Back from trying to figure out whom is calling me by making the worst prank calls ever and then seeing who is following me because they will be spewing their perverted lies… I thought when you have a catfish you’re supposed to set the hook.

    Enough about my schizophrenic hallucinations or the MK Ultra meets a vindictive bogus RICO investigation designed to end me in the mental health ward for not knowing what they thought I should. Speaking of the mental health ward, Dean Kramer has a 15.4 ERA vs. Minnesota in two appearances. They look to avoid the sweep here but face the Twins again for a three game set next week in Baltimore. I’ll take the Twins based on the pitching stat knowing that Kramer is a good pitcher and he will be seeking a better performance against a team that has had his number in two meeting thus far.

    Texas has already taken the season series with the Red Sox, Leiter who has beaten the Red Sox already once in this young season and career but had a rough time out on the mound in his last start as Seattle touched him 13-1. Another young starter on the Red Sox side as Bellos is 2-1 vs. Texas in his young career. At 9 Iook at the pitching matchup and have to consider that under. With one game now of seeing Leiter how many times does it take for the team scouting and batters to get into the the Rangers starter? He only allowed 1 run in 5 innings, and with Bryan Bellos stats I lean to the under 9 here. I also think the Red Sox should win but that would still lose the season matchup as it is 4-2 Texas entering todays game.

    Detroit, Detroit can they pull the double header as they have now jumped out in the Central to what some of us were waiting for and then they got some postseason clutch in last year and now they have rode the momentum. It’s a long season in Denver but they will get wins whenever they come up. Try to balance this thing where you can get a unit and get the fuck out the way or do you look at a parlay? Not for me because yesterday it was 8-6, and Detroit while they are 23-13 the Tigers are 10-10 on the road. The likely better way may be to avoid the consensus and hope the 7th win of the season is somewhere around for the Rockies? Tough call and I may jump in live bet or pass right here.

    Reds are down 1-2 in the series in Atlanta. This pitching matchup has both teams with young pitching who both I was able to find one appearance, no decisions for either hurler vs. today’s opponent. The Braves may very well win and they are dangerous at any time, but Lodolo has been excellent every other start, shutting out opponents in 3 games this year, with the “bad” start coming in his last outing vs. the Nationals. With the Reds ability to hit the ball this season 6th in the NL that may very likely be the key to game as the Braves are 5-2 record in games where they don’t allow a home run. Atlanta under .500 but posting an 11-6 record where the games start at 7:20. The Reds? they are over .500 on the road at 10-9 while .500 ball is been the pace thus far for the Red legs. The consensus squarely on the Braves but with Schwellenbach at 1-3 for the year I see the Reds as having a 50% chance to win the game and paying out +175 and that is what you need to know, wager at your own risk or don’t.

    This has been The Griff Report, As always best of luck and enjoy your Thursday

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    6 mins
  • The Griff Report- Sweet 16 2025
    Mar 26 2025
    NCAA Sweet 16

    Duke ML 99% 43k vs Arizona – Don’t fall into following these huge money line consensus favorites. The Blue Devils are leading the tournament in margin of victory. You may look live bet here but if your headstrong on the Duke side then just lay the number where you get your bet at. Duke has been the one man show and if that show gets slowed then it happens in the tournament. 78 % of the bets on Duke laying that -9.5 points here. I would recommend waiting because Arizona isn’t going to be blown out from the tip off, they have the talent to beat Duke but those balls have to bounce their way. Duke has been a second half team like in the ACC Championship where they just take off at half time.

    Bama 88% ML 17k 90% over 176 – Look for a high scoring matchup here Alabama made the run last year with the same unit of guys but this BYU bunch is no slouch and is capable of surprising some people but at -5.5 is where my pick is the Tide have been covering a lot, 70 % consensus on the Tide -5.5, play around and get a better number if you want but if this thing goes one way then its gone.

    Arkansas 49 ML +205 – The most amazing thing about this spread is that Arkansas just played so well vs. St. Johns but the books are still giving all that respect to Texas Tech, who now I have laid my eyes on them in the madness and see they are playing really good. The Line Tech -5.5 and for me the pick is Arkansas as they played their game, their size is a defensive nightmare for opponents. I’ll take the points here with 54% consensus on the Razorbacks.

    Florida 99%ML 51k -7 Well the Gators are now such favorites that has is 8-2 ATS neutral court, 26-10 ATS for the season, but is 0-2 ATS in the NCAA tournament. I like the momentum of the Maryland squad after the step and buzzer beater. These tournament games get tough and there are upsets no matter how many people bet the other side. I’ll take Maryland +7 however 88% on the Gators here.

    Auburn 95% 35k ML – Beware this Michigan team, I was impressed with their entire finish in taking my ten bucks vs. Texas A&M. They have the size with Goldin and you have to deal with the pick and roll he is threat to score or hit the free throw line every time. We will see how Auburn handles the pressure on them to win. I’ll take the other “Big Blue” +8.5 and see how that fares.

    Mississippi +148ML 45% This one is where I like to see the SEC team but this is probably an MSU win. They beat the shit outta UNC so they can play with anyone, they won at Arkansas too. 53% Michigan St -3.5

    Houston 95% ML Hou -8 Its Purdue now against Houston and with this one with the extra prep time the betters are taking Houston -8. For me I’m actually hoping for an upset in this game because I’m a UK Fan. 78% on the Cougars -8, but Painter has had his teams getting better with his tournament prep for teams. I’ll take the underdog and fade the consensus again. Houston 3-5-1 ATS Neutral I’ll take Purdue +8

    Kentucky 29% ML +154 – Possibly the best two game from UK this year their two wins vs. Tennessee. Can they beat them three in a row? I’ll take UK this may just be a matchup that favors the

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    14 mins
  • The Griff Report - NCAA Round of 32 Saturday
    Mar 22 2025

    Arkansas vs St. John’s – Calipari vs. Pitino, but this one seems like a game where Pitino would be in the white suit with red handkerchief and change it at halftime. Arkansas was a team with little concern for early season loses as the unity and cohesiveness built as the year went on. They have the size to match up with anyone, and while I did initially pick St. Johns for the Final Four, I see this game as even match weighted to the Hogs for Davis and the importance of having the best point guard on the floor. I’ll take the points and enjoy a good game, no I wouldn’t be surprised to see St. Johns cover on free throws but I’m taking the points knowing this is a heavyweight battle.

    The only concern for Auburn tonight in Lexington is they only one twice this year at Rupp before that they hadn’t since 1980’s, but they have the 3 point defense. In fact the Blue Jays have Big East Defensive POY 4 years in row. With the big spread here I look at the UNDER but see the bookmaker already weighted it slightly down at 149.5. I haven’t done well this year on the opening round but there have been many distractions so don’t worry about those first days. I would expect get a better number live bet if you want Auburn or take the points if you like Creighton but I think this Auburn team finds a way to win against a dangerous team. My pick here is the UNDER and we will see the rest.

    UCLA vs. Tennessee I see the total here is set for a Rick Barnes defensive classic. Couple that with Zeigler being now spent most of his life in Knoxville as the millionth year point guard. Couple that with the way the Vols play at Rupp Arena and I’ll try to get the live bet for my side play, but I think they win and cover tonight. Tennessee -5 or -220 money line and even though that could get over I like UNDER 131 as well as the SEC stamps two sweet sixteen slots tonight in Lexington.

    Gonzaga v Houston – This is contrasting styles as Houston likes the defensive game but the Zags are rolling up and down the floor 2nd in points scored. Its going to be Houston not letting them get clean shots and just setting defensive position where it affects shots, I may have been the goofiest 6 ft 2 center in rec specs they ever saw in youth basketball but they still nightmares of their shots blocked into the stands and once that mentality gets in the its in their mind and they will adjust for that bringing the shooter off where is squared with his eyes on the prize. If they get the defense locked in they will win. Looking at the number they expect this to be a close game for what some consider the favorite in Houston, and I’m gonna say try to get Houston even money on live bet because the Zags are likely to be in this one. Even the outright upset has to be weighed into account because the Zags are a perineal sweet 16 team. These are both great teams from bad leagues so it’s hard to figure how they will go. I picked Houston to make it through but I’ll put Gonzaga +5 and UNDER 140.5 as my picks and its the tournament don’t be surprised if Gonzaga steals the stage as they have done year after year in Few’s tenure, both coaches over 700 wins here, I just have to take into account the Bulldogs NCAA record into factor and think they have a good shot to cover even if they lose with Houston wanting the defensive game.

    BYU – Wisconsin Watched the Badgers more this year than the Cougars, but this might be a high scoring game, an alarming 90% on the over at 155.5 remember the bookie usually only gives free lunch Monday and Thursday during NFL season. A 1 point spread, pick a side if you want because I’ll leave that alone with the over as the only place I’ll look at.

    Texas A&M vs. Michigan – While the “OTHER BIG BLUE” did look impressive round 1 look at those Aggie seniors and they have been through a tough SEC so they should be able to not be out “Big Schooled” by the Wolverines. I’ll take A&M -3, or money line.

    Last one Drake +7.5, I have no idea really here so I just took the underdog. These aren’t teams I get my eyes on much.

    As always Best of Luck

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    10 mins
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