
US Housing Market Update May 2025: Inventory Rises, Prices Moderate, and Affordability Concerns Linger
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The US housing market continues to show mixed signals as we move through May 2025. Recent data indicates that home prices have reached a median of $403,700 in March, marking a modest 2.7% increase from the previous year and setting a new record for the month[3]. This moderate price growth represents a slowdown from 2024's 4.5% appreciation rate[5].
Inventory levels are showing significant improvement, with total housing stock reaching 1.33 million units at the end of March, up 8.1% from February and 19.8% from March 2024[3]. This inventory growth varies by region, with the West experiencing the largest increase at 40.3%, followed by the South at 31.1%[3].
The market is seeing a surge in price cuts as sellers become more realistic about their expectations. According to Zillow's latest data, this trend is creating what economists describe as a "healthier" housing market where the gap between buyers and sellers is narrowing[4].
Mortgage rates remain a key factor affecting market activity, hovering around 6.70%, though potential rate cuts later this year could improve affordability[3]. March's lower rates already boosted pending sales activity by approximately 12% year over year[1].
New construction is playing an increasingly important role, with newly built homes now representing 31.4% of all homes for sale as of February 2025[3]. However, experts at J.P. Morgan suggest that supply should be "less of a support for the housing market in 2025" as new homes for sale have reached 481,000 units, the highest level since 2007[2].
Looking ahead, industry forecasts suggest the market will remain subdued, with price growth expected to average around 2-3% for the remainder of 2025[2][5]. While conditions are gradually becoming more favorable for buyers with increased inventory and moderating prices, the market still faces challenges including elevated mortgage rates and ongoing affordability concerns.
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