Episodes

  • The Snowball (May 2025 Fintwit Book Club)
    Jun 4 2025

    In this edition of the Yet Another Value Podcast Book Club, host Andrew Walker reunites with Byrne Hobart of The Diff to revisit The Snowball, Alice Schroeder’s biography of Warren Buffett. Triggered by Buffett’s recent retirement, the two reflect on how their views have evolved since first reading the book in their 20s. They unpack Buffett’s complex personal life, his early financial maneuvers, near-catastrophic risks, and lasting investment philosophies. Key discussions include Buffett’s detached family dynamics, calculated leverage, deep value tactics, and overlooked geopolitical caution. With a balance of admiration and critique, Andrew and Byrne present a thoughtful, analytical take on the man often mythologized as America's greatest investor.

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    [00:00:00] Podcast intro and book overview

    [00:02:05] First impressions of Snowball reread

    [00:04:28] Buffett’s emotional and family struggles

    [00:05:57] His early business brilliance questioned

    [00:08:41] Risks nearly tanked early ventures

    [00:10:17] Byrne reflects on insurance troubles

    [00:13:44] Buffett’s dual investing motivations

    [00:15:27] Shady dynamics of Buffett’s PA

    [00:17:45] Hustling to raise initial capital

    [00:21:12] Best wins: control and distress

    [00:23:36] Early Buffett vs modern strategies

    [00:26:54] Why he avoided foreign stocks

    [00:28:17] Could modern Buffett act similarly?

    [00:30:52] Gray areas in early arbitrage

    [00:33:57] Incentives, risk, and bad bets

    [00:35:22] Buffett’s paradoxical driving style

    [00:36:51] Solomon drama and reputational play

    [00:40:33] Was Solomon really near failure?

    [00:43:36] Role of Buffett’s presence in bailout

    [00:45:10] LTCM: Buffett’s ultimate near-miss

    [00:49:40] Snowball ends during 2008 crisis

    [00:50:52] Experience shapes Buffett’s crisis style

    [00:53:31] Is he great at market timing?

    [00:56:14] Tough negotiator in private deals

    [01:01:34] Reconciling bearish macro with buys

    Links

    Yet Another Value Blog: https://www.yetanothervalueblog.com

    See our legal disclaimer here: https://www.yetanothervalueblog.com/p/legal-and-disclaimer

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    1 hr and 15 mins
  • Muddy Waters' Darren McLean on investing in the mining sector
    Jun 3 2025

    In this episode of Yet Another Value Podcast, host Andrew Walker speaks with Darren McLean of Muddy Waters about investing in the mining sector. Darren shares how informational edges and a deep understanding of data can yield outsized returns in a space often overlooked by generalists. They discuss the inefficiencies in mining markets, the value of unconventional data analysis, and why mining offers compelling alpha for those willing to do the work. Darren also explores the evolution of mining capital, the brain drain in the industry, and the outsized rewards of discovering and developing world-class assets. Tune in to uncover the realities of resource investing and how expertise can change the game.

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    [00:00:00] Andrew introduces podcast and Darren McLean

    [00:03:15] Why Darren sees alpha in mining

    [00:04:50] Examples of unconventional data collection

    [00:07:46] Darren discovers major inefficiency firsthand

    [00:10:23] Lack of diligence in asset qualification

    [00:15:51] The post-China supercycle mining collapse

    [00:20:57] Why mining offers inevitable investment returns

    [00:24:03] The Bre-X scandal and manipulation

    [00:27:42] Why supermajors avoid early-stage projects

    [00:31:26] When site visits are essential

    [00:38:47] Brain drain and generational void in mining

    [00:39:18] Can generalists invest in mining successfully?

    [00:43:17] Montage Gold: A re-rate case study

    [00:46:17] Value of strong reputations and strategic entry

    [00:51:13] Darren’s track record and strategy success

    [00:53:36] Why mining gives clear investment feedback

    Links:

    Yet Another Value Blog: https://www.yetanothervalueblog.com

    See our legal disclaimer here: https://www.yetanothervalueblog.com/p/legal-and-disclaimer


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    55 mins
  • Fintool's Nicolas Bustamante on using AI to improve in investing
    May 29 2025

    In this episode of Yet Another Value Podcast, host Andrew Walker speaks with Nic Bustamante, founder of FinTool, an AI-powered platform designed for equity analysts and investors. They probe how AI is transforming investment workflows, from memo creation to screening and qualitative analysis. Nic shares examples of institutional adoption, discusses nuanced challenges like bias in management conversations, and forecasts how AI could evolve investor roles. Whether you're deeply entrenched in AI or just starting out, this episode provides grounded insights into its growing role in finance.

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    [00:00:00] Andrew introduces podcast and guest

    [00:01:50] Nic explains AI task delegation

    [00:04:10] Home Depot memo AI example

    [00:06:59] Uploading memos to train AI

    [00:08:13] Pattern matching with past investments

    [00:10:39] Small sample size challenges

    [00:13:10] Buffett’s approach vs. LLM potential

    [00:16:08] Investing skill shifts with AI

    [00:18:00] Qualitative work amplified by AI

    [00:21:19] Gumshoe research vs. AI insights

    [00:23:21] Amplifying analyst strengths with AI

    [00:25:59] AI freeing up research time

    [00:27:37] Future of autonomous investment agents

    [00:30:10] Training AI with personal track record

    [00:31:59] Data diversity needed for edge

    [00:33:38] Qualitative investing with AI portfolios

    [00:36:02] AI advantages in news trading

    [00:37:36] Losing insight through automation

    [00:39:21] Hybrid strategy using AI summaries

    [00:41:40] Identifying non-standard compensation

    [00:42:53] Spotting off-cycle stock grants

    [00:45:36] Edge cases needing human oversight

    [00:47:48] Tesla and extreme market narratives

    [00:49:22] Fragility of company valuations

    [00:51:16] Reliability of company filings

    [00:53:31] Expanding Fintool’s data sources

    [00:54:11] When and why to upload documents

    [00:56:25] Private data and unique uploads

    [00:58:14] Bias risk from selective inputs

    [00:59:38] Recording calls for richer context

    [01:00:23] Generating insightful questions with AI

    [01:01:35] Framing management conversations for AI

    [01:02:49] Extracting insight through competitor focus

    [01:03:46] Using peers to understand companies

    [01:04:43] Keeping pace with fast AI evolution

    [01:07:02] AI as necessary but not sufficient

    Links:

    Yet Another ValueBlog: https://www.yetanothervalueblog.com

    See our legaldisclaimer here: https://www.yetanothervalueblog.com/p/legal-and-disclaimer

    FinTool:https://fintool.com/

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    1 hr and 8 mins
  • Pitch the PM's Doug Garber on $TUSK's mammoth cash balance
    May 26 2025

    In this episode of Yet Another Value Podcast, host Andrew Walker is joined by Doug Garber, founder of the Pitch the PM podcast, to dissect Mammoth Energy (TUSK). They explore TUSK's mammoth (pun intended) cash holdings relative to its market cap, past challenges including fracking and Puerto Rico operations, and the implications of recent asset sales. Doug shares insights into TUSK's business segments, corporate governance under Wexford, and potential capital allocation strategies. They also discuss the strategic outlook with the upcoming CEO transition.______________________________________________________________________[00:00:00] Podcast introduction and episode setup[00:02:06] Doug Garber joins the discussion[00:02:51] Overview of Mammoth Energy's business[00:05:14] Settlement cash inflow explained[00:06:59] Market mispricing and cash outlook[00:10:00] Investor skepticism around Puerto Rico[00:14:07] Corporate governance and Wexford's role[00:18:02] Discussion on capital allocation strategy[00:24:32] Business transition from energy to industrial[00:30:24] Aircraft purchase controversy analyzed[00:34:16] Interim CEO and leadership transition[00:36:51] Expectations for new CEO direction[00:42:06] Valuation from appraised asset values[00:45:35] Wexford's investment performance evaluated[00:46:00] Downside protection and risk assessment[00:50:21] Final thoughts and wrap-upLinks:Yet Another Value Blog - https://www.yetanothervalueblog.com See our legal disclaimer here: https://www.yetanothervalueblog.com/p/legal-and-disclaimer

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    52 mins
  • Planet Microcap 2025 Q&A with Artem Fokin of Caro-Kann Capital
    May 21 2025

    In this episode of Yet Another Value Podcast, host Andrew Walker shares a keynote Q&A from the Showcase Vegas event with returning guest Artem Fokin of Caro-Kann Capital. Artem breaks down his concept of “superpowers” in investing—an individual’s unique edge based on comparative advantage—and how it shapes portfolio decisions. The discussion extends into sell discipline, including identifying when a thesis is broken and handling emotional pitfalls during drawdowns. Artem also touches on evaluating management teams, international microcap investing, and the psychological toll of investing for a living. The conversation is a practical dive into staying grounded and focused amid the volatility of markets.

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    [0:00:00] Intro & sponsor message.

    [0:02:45] Andrew introduces Artem.

    [0:03:45] Defining investment 'superpower'.

    [0:05:08] Artem's investing superpower explained.

    [0:06:30] Identifying others' superpowers.

    [0:08:15] Matching skills to stock selection.

    [0:09:30] Using expert calls effectively.

    [0:10:55] Selling stocks on thesis change.

    [0:13:46] Holding through macro noise.

    [0:15:12] Assessing management capability.

    [0:17:30] Micro vs. large cap dynamics.

    [0:19:30] International vs. US investing.

    [0:23:10] Mental resilience in investing.

    [0:26:00] Avoiding emotional decision-making.

    [0:30:00] Balancing fund and personal finance.

    [0:33:00] Final thoughts and close.

    Links:

    Yet Another Value Blog - https://www.yetanothervalueblog.com

    See our legal disclaimer here: https://www.yetanothervalueblog.com/p/legal-and-disclaimer

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    34 mins
  • Pershing Square Challenge 2025 winners on Carlisle $CSL
    May 19 2025

    In this episode of Yet Another Value Podcast, host Andrew Walker interviews the first-year Columbia MBA team who unanimously won the 18th Annual Pershing Square Challenge with their investment thesis on Carlisle Companies (CSL). The team—Tuan, Dimitry, and Erik—shares their detailed research into the commercial roofing giant, exploring its competitive moats, sticky customer relationships, management alignment, valuation framework, and opportunities for expansion. They discuss their firsthand trade show research, unique insight into labor dynamics, and responses to key concerns like cyclicality and pricing power. The conversation also covers the company's history, recent transformation, and what could keep an investor up at night.


    You can find the team's CSL pitch deck here: https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/mn4ib4897o8gfpgdzs03c/CSL-US-Carlisle-Pershing-Square-Challenge-Presentation_YAVB_Abridged.pdf?rlkey=ck47pu6samrrnctwlfyr536hc&e=1&st=nj9zt415&dl=0_

    _____________________________________________________________________

    [00:00:00] Intro to podcast and guests

    [00:02:44] Guest introductions and backgrounds

    [00:05:35] Overview of Carlisle Companies

    [00:08:32] Pitch background and idea process

    [00:13:03] Unique research: trade show visits

    [00:19:28] Carlisle’s competitive advantages

    [00:24:58] Sticky customer and contractor base

    [00:30:00] Valuation and IRR framework

    [00:35:14] Management's strategy and alignment

    [00:42:07] Target 2030 growth breakdown

    [00:46:20] QXO, Beacon, and distribution impact

    [00:52:22] Risks and margin sustainability

    [00:54:28] Potential new entrants: Berkshire risk

    [00:56:33] Labor shortages and benefits

    [01:00:17] Leverage and capital allocation debate

    [01:02:56] Final reflections and thank yous

    Links:

    Yet Another Value Blog - https://www.yetanothervalueblog.com See our legal disclaimer here: https://www.yetanothervalueblog.com/p/legal-and-disclaimer

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    1 hr and 4 mins
  • Random Ramblings May 2025
    May 14 2025

    In this May 2025 edition of Yet Another Value Podcast, host Andrew Walker shares a range of thoughts in his monthly solo ramble. He opens with macro commentary on market resilience post-"Liberation Day" and ongoing CEO uncertainty. He transitions to the role of AI in investing, using analogies from sports to explore how AI may alter investor success profiles. Andrew dives into how management teams' sales skills can mislead investors and shares his growing skepticism from biotech engagements. The episode closes with reflections on how personal preferences influence investing decisions and a detailed breakdown of how sunk costs and overhead can erode biotech value.

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    [0:00:00] Podcast intro and episode preview.

    [0:02:02] Corporate governance discussion overview.

    [0:03:22] Host introduction and podcast growth.

    [0:04:16] Topics: market, AI, management, products.

    [0:05:09] Market reaction since Liberation Day.

    [0:07:26] CEO uncertainty and delayed investments.

    [0:11:44] Complacency, speculative vs. cyclical sectors.

    [0:12:22] AI as knowledge enhancer for investors.

    [0:14:01] AI and sports analogies for change.

    [0:18:46] AI impacting future investor skillsets.

    [0:22:05] Management interviews and AI impact.

    [0:25:24] Trusting vs. over-trusting management teams.

    [0:31:44] Selling skills of management vs. investors

    [0:34:09] Viral products and parsing endorsements.

    [0:38:32] Disliking a product but buying stock.

    [0:42:20] Balancing personal preferences with investing.

    [0:44:00] Management and sunk costs in biotech.

    [0:53:44] Overhead expenses distort trial economics.

    [0:57:27] Wrap-up: biotech, books, and future episodes.

    Links:

    Yet Another Value Blog - https://www.yetanothervalueblog.com See our legal disclaimer here: https://www.yetanothervalueblog.com/p/legal-and-disclaimer

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    35 mins
  • Cliff Sosin from CAS on Carvana and a bunch of other stuff $CVNA
    May 8 2025

    In this episode of Yet Another Value Podcast, host Andrew Walker welcomes back Cliff Sosin of CAS Investment Partners for his second appearance. Known for his concentrated, long-term investing approach, Cliff discusses the unique characteristics of Carvana's lending model, the intricacies of subprime finance, and why he believes Carvana's comeback story deserves a closer look. The conversation explores Cliff's investment philosophy, alternative data use, and risk management, while diving deep into market misconceptions around subprime lending, inventory valuation, and self-driving cars. Tune in for a data-rich breakdown of one of the market's most discussed turnarounds.

    Links:

    YAVP with Aaron Chan on CVNA: https://www.yetanothervalueblog.com/p/recurve-capitals-aaron-chan-on-the

    CAS Investment Partners - ⁠https://www.casinvestmentpartners.com/⁠

    Yet Another Value Blog - ⁠https://www.yetanothervalueblog.com⁠

    See our legal disclaimer here: ⁠https://www.yetanothervalueblog.com/p/legal-and-disclaimer⁠

    _______________________________________________________

    [00:00] Intro to the podcast and guest, Cliff Sosin

    [01:38] Cliff on his podcast return

    [00:02:11] Cliff reflects on past public exposure

    [00:05:26] Cliff’s focus in subprime and securitizations

    [00:12:17] Carvana’s lending model and performance vs peers

    [00:24:29] Alt data, trading signals, and Carvana

    [00:30:58] Evolution of Carvana’s operational resilience

    [00:34:03] What keeps Cliff up at night about Carvana

    [00:38:11] Risks from used car market decline

    [00:40:08] Potential disruption from low-cost EVs

    [00:47:00] Threat of autonomous vehicles

    [01:01:50] Stanford, Google, and Carvana

    [01:10:10] Tail Risks

    [01:13:00] Getting better with expert networks

    [01:18:00] My trite Cliff saying

    [01:19:00] What is Cliff researching now

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    1 hr and 25 mins
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