Irrational Exuberance
Revised and Expanded Third Edition
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Narrated by:
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Mike Chamberlain
About this listen
In this revised, updated, and expanded edition of his New York Times best seller, Nobel Prize-winning economist Robert Shiller, who warned of both the tech and housing bubbles, cautions that signs of irrational exuberance among investors have only increased since the 2008-9 financial crisis.
With high stock and bond prices and the rising cost of housing, the post-subprime boom may well turn out to be another illustration of Shiller's influential argument that psychologically driven volatility is an inherent characteristic of all asset markets. In other words, Irrational Exuberance is as relevant as ever. Previous editions covered the stock and housing markets - and famously predicted their crashes. This edition expands its coverage to include the bond market, so that the book now addresses all of the major investment markets. It also includes updated data throughout, as well as Shiller's 2013 Nobel Prize lecture, which places the book in broader context.
In addition to diagnosing the causes of asset bubbles, Irrational Exuberance recommends urgent policy changes to lessen their likelihood and severity - and suggests ways that individuals can decrease their risk before the next bubble bursts. No one whose future depends on a retirement account, a house, or other investments can afford not to listen to this book.
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Best-selling author Ken Fisher here explains how investor's memories play (often costly) tricks on them. Fisher takes aim at some major market memory mishaps, like the idea that stocks have become inherently more volatile or that wildly above - or below - average returns are abnormal. He shows how, early in every recovery, investors don’t believe in it - often at a huge cost. And he shows how, in investing, ideology is deadly. Most important, he explains how you can use history as a powerful investing tool.
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Important Things to Remember
- By John on 01-08-12
By: Ken Fisher, and others
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The Most Important Thing
- Uncommon Sense for The Thoughtful Investor
- By: Howard Marks
- Narrated by: John FitzGibbon
- Length: 7 hrs and 9 mins
- Unabridged
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Story
Howard Marks, the chairman and cofounder of Oaktree Capital Management, is renowned for his insightful assessments of market opportunity and risk. After four decades spent ascending to the top of the investment management profession, he is today sought out by the world's leading value investors, and his client memos brim with insightful commentary and a time-tested, fundamental philosophy. The Most Important Thing explains the keys to successful investment and the pitfalls that can destroy capital or ruin a career.
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Five Star Book, two Star Audiobook
- By Johnny on 06-08-15
By: Howard Marks
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Forecast
- What Physics, Meteorology, and the Natural Sciences Can Teach Us About Economics
- By: Mark Buchanan
- Narrated by: Fleet Cooper
- Length: 10 hrs
- Unabridged
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Overall
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Performance
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Story
Picture an early scene from The Wizard of Oz: Dorothy hurries home as a tornado gathers in what was once a clear Kansas sky. Hurriedly, she seeks shelter in the storm cellar under the house, but, finding it locked, takes cover in her bedroom. We all know how that works out for her.Many investors these days are a bit like Dorothy, putting their faith in something as solid and trustworthy as a house (or, say, real estate). But market disruptions - storms - seem to arrive without warning, leaving us little time to react.
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Good Contrarian Book
- By J. Sterz on 04-18-17
By: Mark Buchanan
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Debunkery
- Learn It, Do It, and Profit From It - Seeing Through Wall Street's Money-Killing Myths
- By: Ken Fisher
- Narrated by: John Morgan
- Length: 7 hrs and 42 mins
- Unabridged
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Overall
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Performance
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Far too many investors fail to get the results they want, because they make some pretty common mistakes. The problem is, the errors don't seem like mistakes—they seem like smart, intuitive, and/or widely recognized investing "wisdom". But much of what's accepted as investing "wisdom" is, instead, bunk.
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Accompanying reference guide does not download!!
- By MARK on 11-15-10
By: Ken Fisher
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The Myth of the Rational Market
- A History of Risk, Reward, and Delusion on Wall Street
- By: Justin Fox
- Narrated by: Alan Sklar
- Length: 13 hrs and 38 mins
- Unabridged
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Overall
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Chronicling the rise and fall of the efficient market theory and the century-long making of the modern financial industry, Justin Fox’s The Myth of the Rational Market is as much an intellectual whodunit as a cultural history of the perils and possibilities of risk. The book brings to life the people and ideas that forged modern finance and investing, from the formative days of Wall Street through the Great Depression and into the financial calamity of today.
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Probably most interesting to economists
- By D. Martin on 06-29-12
By: Justin Fox
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The Little Book of Common Sense Investing
- The Only Way to Guarantee Your Fair Share of Stock Market Returns, 10th Anniversary Edition
- By: John C. Bogle
- Narrated by: L. J. Ganser
- Length: 5 hrs and 50 mins
- Unabridged
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Overall
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Performance
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Story
The Little Book of Common Sense Investing is the classic guide to getting smart about the market. Legendary mutual fund pioneer John C. Bogle reveals his key to getting more out of investing: low-cost index funds. Bogle describes the simplest and most effective investment strategy for building wealth over the long term: buy and hold, at very low cost, a mutual fund that tracks a broad stock market Index such as the S&P 500.
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One star for every point this 5 hour book makes.
- By Matt on 01-31-19
By: John C. Bogle
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Invest Like a Guru
- How to Generate Higher Returns at Reduced Risk with Value Investing
- By: Charlie Tian
- Narrated by: Jonathan Yen
- Length: 7 hrs and 25 mins
- Unabridged
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Story
Adopt the investment strategy that built Warren Buffett's fortune. Invest Like a Guru provides an invaluable resource for high-quality-focused value investing, with expert insight and practical tools for implementation. Written by the man behind GuruFocus.com, this book expands on the site's value strategies and research tools to provide a primer for those exploring pathways to higher returns at lower risk.
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A gurufocus ($400/year) commercial?
- By Amazon Customer M on 08-05-17
By: Charlie Tian
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The Motley Fool Million Dollar Portfolio
- By: David Gardner, Tom Gardner
- Narrated by: David Gardner, Tom Gardner
- Length: 7 hrs and 47 mins
- Unabridged
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Overall
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Performance
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Story
Listeners are offered a first-class education in building, growing, and defending an individual portfolio, one investment strategy at a time. From learning to think like an investor to finding a first stock, from international investing to community-based online tools, this audiobook takes the reader through the essential strategies for building any portfolio, no matter how small its start or how big its ambitions.
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Great Introduction to Investing
- By Matthew on 09-18-09
By: David Gardner, and others
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Heads I Win, Tails I Win
- Why Smart Investors Fail and How to Tilt the Odds in Your Favor
- By: Spencer Jakab
- Narrated by: Sean Pratt
- Length: 8 hrs and 30 mins
- Unabridged
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Overall
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Performance
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Story
According to Wall Street Journal investing columnist Spencer Jakab, most of us have no idea how much money we're leaving on the table - or that the average saver doesn't come anywhere close to earning the "average" returns touted in those glossy brochures. We're handicapped not only by psychological biases and a fear of missing out but by an industry with multimillion-dollar marketing budgets and an eye on its own bottom line, not yours.
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Got my head screwed on straight
- By Rob Barry on 12-20-18
By: Spencer Jakab
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The Great Reversal
- How America Gave Up on Free Markets
- By: Thomas Philippon
- Narrated by: Walter Dixon
- Length: 10 hrs and 1 min
- Unabridged
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Overall
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Performance
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Story
Why are cellphone plans so much more expensive in the United States than in Europe? It seems a simple question. But the search for an answer took Thomas Philippon on an unexpected journey through some of the most complex and hotly debated issues in modern economics. Ultimately, he reached a surprising conclusion: American markets, once a model for the world, are giving up on healthy competition.
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Eye-opening, but better as a book - a must-READ
- By Ash on 11-29-19
By: Thomas Philippon
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Warren Buffett's Ground Rules
- Words of Wisdom from the Partnership Letters of the World's Greatest Investor
- By: Jeremy C. Miller
- Narrated by: Tom Perkins
- Length: 10 hrs and 11 mins
- Unabridged
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Overall
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Performance
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Story
Compiled for the first time, and with Buffett's permission, these letters spotlight his contrarian diversification strategy, his almost religious celebration of compounding interest, his preference for conservative rather than conventional decision making, and his goal and tactics for bettering market results by at least 10 percent annually. Demonstrating Buffett's intellectual rigor, they provide a framework to the craft of investing that had not existed before.
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Absolutely fantastic
- By Matthew on 08-18-16
By: Jeremy C. Miller
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The End of Alchemy
- Money, Banking, and the Future of the Global Economy
- By: Mervyn King
- Narrated by: Greg Wagland
- Length: 14 hrs and 3 mins
- Unabridged
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Overall
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Performance
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Story
Something is wrong with our banking system. We all sense that, but Mervyn King knows it firsthand; his 10 years at the helm of the Bank of England, including at the height of the financial crisis, revealed profound truths about the mechanisms of our capitalist society. In The End of Alchemy, he offers us an essential work about the history and future of money and banking, the keys to modern finance.
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Two books in one, both very fine
- By Philo on 07-13-16
By: Mervyn King
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The Art of Value Investing
- Essential Strategies for Market-Beating Returns
- By: John Heins, Whitney Tilson
- Narrated by: Walter Dixon
- Length: 9 hrs and 5 mins
- Unabridged
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Overall
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Performance
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Story
Whether you're a complete beginner in need of an A-to-Z value investing primer, an experienced investor looking to expand and fine-tune your repertoire of value investing skills, or an individual or institutional investor looking to identify the best money managers, this audiobook is for you. Authors John Heins and Whitney Tilson have brought together the collective wisdom of today's most successful value investors and distilled it into a series of actionable lessons you can put into practice right away.
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Collection of quotations with no narrative
- By busyfamilymom on 02-05-15
By: John Heins, and others
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Lack of theoretical underpinning
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Why no pdf of charts???
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A good intro to finance
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Good
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out of date
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Useful for a certain audience, but ...
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Candid, short, and accessible, Winning the Loser's Game walks you through the process of developing and implementing a powerful investing strategy that generates solid profits year after year. In this eagerly awaited new edition, Charles D. Ellis applies the expertise developed over his long, illustrious career. This updated edition includes: new chapters on bond investing, how investor behavior affects returns, and how technology and big data are challenging traditional investment decision; and more.
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Updated for “modern audiences”
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In the beginning was the loan, and the loan carried interest. For at least five millennia people have been borrowing and lending at interest. Yet as capitalism became established from the late Middle Ages onwards, denunciations of interest were tempered because interest was a necessary reward for lenders to part with their capital. And interest performs many other vital functions: it encourages people to save; enables them to place a value on precious assets, such as houses and all manner of financial securities; and allows us to price risk.
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Brilliant
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Over the years, people from around the world have turned to Morningstar for strong, independent, and reliable advice. The Five Rules for Successful Stock Investing provides the kind of savvy financial guidance only a company like Morningstar could offer. Based on the philosophy that "investing should be fun, but not a game", this comprehensive guide will put even the most cautious investors back on the right track by helping them pick the right stocks, find great companies, and understand the driving forces behind different industries.
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The Wealth and Poverty of Nations
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A detailed explanation
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Listened twice. Everyone must read this.
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The Illusion of Delusions
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better prepared to spot a bubble
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Adaptive Markets
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Half of all Americans have money in the stock market, yet economists can't agree on whether investors and markets are rational and efficient, as modern financial theory assumes, or irrational and inefficient, as behavioral economists believe - and as financial bubbles, crashes, and crises suggest. This is one of the biggest debates in economics, and the value or futility of investment management and financial regulation hang on the outcome. In this groundbreaking book, Andrew W. Lo cuts through this debate with a new framework.
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Skip it
- By L and S Sadler on 08-16-18
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Fooled by Randomness
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This audiobook is about luck, or more precisely, how we perceive and deal with luck in life and business. It is already a landmark work, and its title has entered our vocabulary. In its second edition, Fooled by Randomness is now a cornerstone for anyone interested in random outcomes.
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Pass on this one and read The Black Swan
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Irrational Exuberance
- By: Robert J. Shiller
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Overall
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Performance
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Story
In this controversial, hard-hitting account of today’s explosive market, Robert J. Shiller, a leading expert on market volatility, evokes Alan Greenspan’s infamous 1996 reference, “irrational exuberance,” to explain the alternately soaring and declining stock market. Shiller’s unconventional yet persuasive argument credits an unprecedented confluence of events with driving stocks to uncharted heights, and he analyzes the structural, cultural, and psychological factors behind these levels of growth not reflected in any other sector of the economy.
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Very academic, but thorough and informative
- By Timothy on 09-23-04
What listeners say about Irrational Exuberance
Average customer ratingsReviews - Please select the tabs below to change the source of reviews.
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- Amazon Customer
- 11-10-22
A must for ayone who invests
Critical to not only read but also to digest the main thoughts based on the most diligent and thought through research one sees in finance. The fact that the bubbles will come and go, and are an ever lasting feature of human psyche is absolutely critical in managing once expectations and bubbles avoidance for individuals and society. Today, more then ever, is this very relevant as the exhuberance has reached new heights and only recently begun to crack. The facts that equty underpeformed bonds for many long periods of time and that ŕeaĺ estate has generally been and underperformer over very long time, are also valuable for today. Such period may be comming, that bonds, after interest rates peak, will be the best investment for next decades (if equity does not crash very deeply ..i.e. addiontal 50%). JP
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- Soap Maker
- 11-15-24
a little dry, but still insightful
I found myself wanting to take notes for further study as I went through this, but I also found myself frequently losing concentration due to the dry nature of the book.
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- Tom
- 06-08-21
Still Relevant After 21 Years
I would rate this audiobook at 5 stars if they included a PDF of the charts and graphs. The visual information provided is a critical part of the story which becomes lost in the audio format. I resorted to buying the physical book and making my own PDF of the charts and graphs for reference. Really, it should not be that hard for the publisher to provide this.
The audiobook is a good way to access this material during commute time or other opportunities where listening is easier than reading. The concepts are as important to consider today as they were 20 years ago, especially with the advent of meme stocks and cryptocurrencies where "animal spirits" are far more influential than fundamental value. It is helpful to understand that these behaviors are not new, but have been around since the beginnings of investing.
Robert Shiller makes a good case that the Strong Form of the Efficient Markets Hypothesis is misguided, and that even the Semi-strong and Weak forms have holes.
While it may be difficult to profit from the information, it is clear that markets have periods of excess optimism and excess pessimism that inflate or depress prices for extended periods. It almost seems that the periods of "rational" investing behavior are actually a transition state between periods of increasing optimism or pessimism.
Any serious investor should read this book.
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5 people found this helpful
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- Amazon Customer
- 12-09-22
Old news in the 2020s
This is a very slow and laborious criticism of the Efficient Markets hypothesis, and of the ability for most to conveniently beat the market in spite of inefficient markets, and with a dash of why Real is more important than Nominal. Unfortunately most of this knowledge is now commonly accepted and discoverable on the internet. And efficient markets is blatantly false prima facie, which makes the argument against them rather obvious and dull! Shiller's contribution to modern finance can scarcely be overstated, but today a book like this can be safely skipped.
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- Amazon Customer
- 06-05-22
Data intensive book missing PDF Charts!!
This book talks a lot about historical economic and market data with mentions of charts in the book. However in the Audible version, there is no PDF accompaniment of the charts. Recommend to buy the paper version of this book instead and not audible book.
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- Paul P.
- 07-11-22
Informative
Irrational Exuberance is an intensive book that is easy to follow along. There is a lot of information relating to the psychology of the markets during the booms and busts. Great information to have for the near and distant future.
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- Amazon Customer
- 08-07-23
Where is the attached PDF?
This book consistantly refers to figures that the audible version doesn't include. I've contemplated going out and just buying the physical book instead. Please update this.
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