Episodes

  • The Fed, the Fallout, and CRE

    The Fed, the Fallout, and CRE
    Apr 23 2025
    Debt-Driven Reality: Understanding CRE’s Structural Fragility Cracks Beneath the Surface In this episode of The Real Estate Market Watch, I sit down with Jon Winick, CEO of Clark Street Capital, to explore the increasingly fragile foundation of the commercial real estate (CRE) market. Winick draws on decades of experience in loan portfolio sales, banking, CMBS investing, and student housing to deliver a sobering, detail-rich assessment of what’s coming next — and what’s already hiding in plain sight. The Fed, Interest Rates, and the “Nuclear Option” Trump vs. Powell: Market Implications Winick opens with a sharp critique of political interference in Federal Reserve policy. While the idea of firing Fed Chair Jerome Powell may feel remote, he warns that even sustained political pressure has consequences. Removing Powell — the so-called "nuclear option" — would spark chaos in capital markets, undermining global confidence in the U.S. dollar and Treasury markets. “You cannot find an industry in which debt matters more than commercial real estate,” Winick says. A destabilized bond market affects CRE indirectly but profoundly by tightening liquidity and depressing investor confidence. CRE’s Dependency on Debt: Liquidity as Lifeblood Why CRE Suffers When Capital Tightens With rates elevated and uncertainty rising, Winick highlights the outsized role debt plays in CRE. Unlike most industries, capital structure is everything in real estate. Higher interest rates are more than a cost issue—they erode the viability of deals outright. His analogy lands hard: “Low rates are like tequila on a first date. High rates are like a glass of warm milk.” Banking Behavior: The Art of Delay Defaults, Loan Maturities, and Creative Accounting Despite rising delinquencies in CMBS, bank-reported CRE loan delinquencies remain surprisingly low. Why? Banks, Winick argues, are benefiting from regulatory changes that let them defer the recognition of problem loans. “The delinquencies that you're seeing in CMBS and bank loans will inevitably converge. Banks have been able to use some new rules to hide problem loans. And eventually that [runway] runs out.” he says. Bank defaults may not be catastrophic, but their opacity clouds the picture for investors trying to assess real risk. Creative Destruction Denied Why Bailouts Delay the Inevitable Winick argues the post-COVID economy is still “wrapped up by actual or indirect fraud.” From subsidized mortgages to suspended student loan collections, unsustainable federal programs have kept weak assets and businesses afloat. He makes a provocative case for embracing creative destruction. “We’ve basically decided as a society that we won’t let businesses fail… but that’s ultimately bad economics.” Policy, Regulation, and the Supply-Demand Trap Deregulation and its Unintended Consequences Dodd-Frank’s unintended effect was to choke off consumer credit, particularly in regions with few lenders. Winick compares Puerto Rico, with just three banks, to Iowa, with the same size population as Puerto Rico, with 246. The result? Higher interest rates, limited options, and an underfinanced economy. He calls for “smart, effective regulation,” warning that over-regulation concentrates power while under-regulation invites asset bubbles. The Signals to Watch Now What CRE Investors Should Be Monitoring Winick identifies several canaries in the coal mine for CRE investors: Widening CMBS credit spreads: These are leading indicators of borrowing cost pressures. Corporate bankruptcies and retail closures: Especially among large tenants like Walgreens or government departments exiting leases. Shifts in political winds: Regulatory reversals could radically alter CRE's operating environment. Strategy: What Should CRE Investors Be Doing? Be Patient, but Be Realistic For investors sitting on cash, Winick’s advice is pragmatic: “Be patient… [but] waiting for a home run often means you miss out on a lot of great opportunities.” He urges caution and downside awareness in every negotiation, pointing out that real movement in the market won’t occur until lenders are forced to act or borrowers are out of options. Final Thought: The Bond Vigilantes Will Win A System Bound by Market Forces Winick closes with a sharp reminder that the bond market, not politicians, sets the true limits: “The bond vigilantes always get their way.” In a world dependent on debt, real estate investors should watch not just interest rates — but who controls the levers behind them. *** In this series, I cut through the noise to examine how shifting macroeconomic forces and rising geopolitical risk are reshaping real estate investing. With insights from economists, academics, and seasoned professionals, this show helps investors respond to market uncertainty with clarity, discipline, and a focus on downside ...
    Show more Show less
    44 mins
  • The Truth About Capital Raising

    The Truth About Capital Raising
    Apr 22 2025
    When you listen in to this week's podcast/YouTube show guest, Elijah Iung, you’ll love hearing about his journey from farmhand to capital raiser. Before he was investing in multifamily deals, he was knee-deep in… well, let’s just say a much messier kind of asset management. But that dirty work paid off. Elijah built a multi-seven-figure business in cattle waste management, which set the stage for his transition into farmland investing and, eventually, multifamily syndication. His journey from tractor-driving farmhand to capital allocator is as unconventional as it is insightful. Betting Big on Multifamily After selling his waste management business, Elijah discovered that much of his wealth was actually growing through his farmland investments, not from his business itself. That realization led him to multifamily real estate, where he quickly learned the ropes by investing as an LP, joining masterminds, and building key sponsor relationships. Raising His First Million Elijah’s first capital raise wasn’t a walk in the park. Tasked with raising $1M for a $39M multifamily deal in Savannah, GA, he hustled hard, digging through his contacts, cold calling, and leveraging LinkedIn to bring investors into the fold. As a co-GP with Lake City Equity, he put up his own capital, structured investor incentives, and navigated the complexities of syndication. Lessons from the Frontlines Raising capital might sound like a simple process; build an email list, send a few messages, and watch the money roll in. The reality? It’s anything but that and Elijah quickly learned that trust is everything – and that trust isn’t built overnight. It takes time, persistence, and a thick skin to handle the inevitable rejections. His first raise was a grind. Cold calls were brutal, follow-ups felt endless, and convincing investors to part with six figures took more than just a good pitch; it required credibility and relationships. Then came the complexities of syndication: structuring equity splits, managing fees, and balancing the interests of both sponsors and investors. Despite the hurdles, Elijah delivered. He raised the full $1M, became the largest LP in his own deal, and walked away with something even more valuable – experience. Now, he’s doubling down on building his investor network through LinkedIn, masterminds, and in-person connections, ensuring that his next raise won’t be nearly as uphill. *** This episode is a real, unfiltered look at what it takes to break into capital raising, the myths that get shattered along the way, and the strategies that actually work. If you’ve ever thought about raising money for real estate deals or just want to hear how a former farmhand turned syndicator made his first million-dollar raise, you’ll want to hit play on this one. *** Explore the world of real estate capital allocators—a fresh approach to financing that’s reshaping the industry. In this series, I talk with allocators, investors, sponsors, and service providers to give you an inside look at this fast-growing space. PLUS, subscribe to my free newsletter for real estate investors and gain access to: * Introductions to sponsors, allocators, and investment opportunities. * Insights drawn from my 30+ years of experience in real estate investing. * Hacks and tactics for raising capital to help you scale your real estate portfolio. Visit GowerCrowd.com/subscribe
    Show more Show less
    30 mins
  • Think You’re Diversified? Think Again!

    Think You’re Diversified? Think Again!
    Apr 21 2025
    Please welcome my guest today, dentist Josh Cochran, who didn’t just build the largest general dental group in the Inland Northwest, he built a real estate empire while he was at it. After selling a stake in his thriving dental practice, he set his sights on commercial real estate, starting with medical retail development before getting involved in ground-up multifamily projects worth over $125 million. The Accidental Developer Josh has an interesting background in that he didn’t just lease space for his dental offices, he built them and, in the process, he discovered he had a knack for development. What started as a necessity quickly became a passion, leading him to acquire land, structure deals, and transform raw dirt into ground up developments. Scaling Up to Multifamily Retail development had its challenges, but Josh knew where the market was heading. He pivoted to multifamily, securing land, entitling projects, and working with institutional capital partners to develop over 450 units across five projects. Along the way, he raised millions from investors, balancing capital allocation with active development. Raising Millions While Protecting Investors With a network of high-net-worth investors, many from his dental background, Josh built a capital-raising system. He is hyper-focused on due diligence, personally vetting deals, sponsors, and market fundamentals before committing capital. His slow and steady approach has helped him safeguard investors from the risky, overleveraged deals that have sunk others. Lessons from the Trenches Josh shares the hard-earned lessons from his transition, including: Why development takes longer than you think—but is worth the wait The biggest fundraising mistakes investors make (and how to avoid them) How he structures deals to align incentives and mitigate risk The power of relationships in CRE and why “going deep” is better than broad diversification. *** From running a successful dental practice to structuring nine-figure real estate deals, Josh’s journey proves that the right mindset and strategic partnerships can open the door to CRE success. If you’re looking to break into development, master capital raising, or scale a real estate business, this episode is full of real-world lessons and advice. *** Explore the world of real estate capital allocators—a fresh approach to financing that’s reshaping the industry. In this series, I talk with allocators, investors, sponsors, and service providers to give you an inside look at this fast-growing space. PLUS, subscribe to my free newsletter for real estate investors and gain access to: * Introductions to sponsors, allocators, and investment opportunities. * Insights drawn from my 30+ years of experience in real estate investing. * Hacks and tactics for raising capital to help you scale your real estate portfolio. Visit GowerCrowd.com/subscribe
    Show more Show less
    50 mins
  • Why Most Capital Raisers Fail (And How to Succeed)

    Why Most Capital Raisers Fail (And How to Succeed)
    Apr 20 2025
    Meet capital allocator, Flint Jamison, Vestus Capital, who took an unconventional route into real estate transitioning from aerospace engineering to structuring multimillion-dollar investment funds. After spending years modifying aircraft, he turned his analytical mind toward real estate, quickly carving out a niche as a capital allocator and fund-of-funds manager. Through Vestus Capital, Flint has raised millions in investor capital, deploying it across diversified real estate assets, including multifamily, medical office buildings, and specialized fund structures. He’s helped investors access opportunities while working to ensure compliance with SEC regulations, something often misunderstood by others. Decoding the Fund of Funds Model Flint explains how he structures his fund-of-funds investments, allowing his investors to access preferential terms. With a $30M portfolio that spans multiple markets, he’s seen firsthand how to negotiate with operators, structure fee agreements, and optimize capital allocation to maximize returns. Navigating a Shifting Market Raising capital today isn’t the same as it was a few years ago. Flint is forthright about the hardest lessons learned, including why “if you build it, they won’t necessarily come.” We talk about how his deals have performed in the face of rising interest rates and market fluctuations, as well as the creative financing strategies he’s deploying to future-proof investments. How to Stand Out in a Crowded Investor Market With countless syndicators and allocators chasing the same investors, how do you differentiate yourself? Flint shares why most capital raisers fail, the biggest mistakes they make, and the LinkedIn strategy that’s been his most powerful tool for attracting accredited investors. Spoiler: It’s not about templates or AI-generated pitches; it’s about speaking the right language to the right audience. **** Flint’s insights are a must-hear for anyone navigating the complex world of real estate capital allocation. If you want to crack the fund of funds model or scale your capital-raising game, this episode is packed with real-world lessons, actionable strategies, and no-BS advice you won’t hear anywhere else. You're going to rethink everything you know about raising capital! *** Explore the world of real estate capital allocators—a fresh approach to financing that’s reshaping the industry. In this series, I talk with allocators, investors, sponsors, and service providers to give you an inside look at this fast-growing space. PLUS, subscribe to my free newsletter for real estate investors and gain access to: * Introductions to sponsors, allocators, and investment opportunities. * Insights drawn from my 30+ years of experience in real estate investing. * Hacks and tactics for raising capital to help you scale your real estate portfolio. Visit GowerCrowd.com/subscribe
    Show more Show less
    52 mins
  • Stop! Watch This Before Investing in Real Estate

    Stop! Watch This Before Investing in Real Estate
    Apr 19 2025
    Today on the podcast, we unravel the complexities of passive investing with Kurt Novak, an experienced investor who’s navigated nearly 50 syndications and uncovered some surprising truths on his journey. When Kurt sold his entire real estate portfolio - rental properties, a self-storage facility, and a thriving brokerage - he thought he was settling into early retirement. Instead, he found himself deep in the world of passive investing, syndications, and allocators. What started with crowdfunding platforms like CrowdStreet quickly expanded into direct investments, allocator-led funds, and a portfolio spanning nearly 50 syndications. But along the way, he discovered something surprising - many passive investors (including himself at first) had no idea what an allocator really is… or how they make money. Syndications, Allocators, and the Fine Print Kurt breaks down the differences between investing directly with sponsors and going through allocators (a.k.a. fund managers, middlemen, capital raisers - pick your term). Spoiler alert: it’s not always as transparent as you’d hope. In fact, many allocators present deals in a way that makes them look like sponsors, leaving investors unaware of the extra layer of fees, the loss of direct ownership, and who’s really calling the shots. Where’s the Real Money? With nearly five years in the passive investing game, Kurt has seen it all - stellar returns, underperforming projections, and even outright fraud. He shares which asset classes have been the biggest winners and which ones have fallen short. Plus, he reveals what happens when an allocator steps up and fights for investors after a deal goes sideways. What Every Passive Investor Needs to Know This episode is a masterclass in cutting through the noise, avoiding common pitfalls, and making smarter investment decisions. Whether you’re a seasoned investor or just dipping your toes into the syndication business, Kurt’s insights will challenge the way you think about allocators, fund structures, and who’s really working in your best interest. *** If you’ve ever wondered where your money actually goes in a syndicated deal—how the fees break down, who’s making the decisions, and whether you’re really getting the best deal possible—this episode is a must-listen. Kurt pulls back the curtain on the hidden layers of passive investing, helping you understand what to look for, what to avoid, and how to make sure your money is truly working for you. *** Explore the world of real estate capital allocators—a fresh approach to financing that’s reshaping the industry. In this series, I talk with allocators, investors, sponsors, and service providers to give you an inside look at this fast-growing space. PLUS, subscribe to my free newsletter for real estate investors and gain access to: * Introductions to sponsors, allocators, and investment opportunities. * Insights drawn from my 30+ years of experience in real estate investing. * Hacks and tactics for raising capital to help you scale your real estate portfolio. Visit GowerCrowd.com/subscribe
    Show more Show less
    44 mins
  • A Smarter Way to Invest in CRE

    A Smarter Way to Invest in CRE
    Apr 15 2025
    When you think of a capital allocator, "former physical therapist" probably isn’t the first thing that comes to mind but Kent Leach isn’t your typical investor. From flipping houses to launching a customizable fund that raised nearly $2M in its first year, Kent’s journey into commercial real estate is as unconventional as it is impressive. In this episode, Kent discusses how he transitioned from hands-on rehab work to structuring an innovative investment model for his investors. His Smart Flex Fund offers an alternative to the traditional blind-pool structure, allowing investors to handpick deals across multiple asset classes, including affordable housing, self-storage, and beyond. Mastering the Fund of Funds Model Kent discusses how he leverages his network, industry insights, and due diligence practices to negotiate preferential terms with sponsors. Avoiding the Multifamily Hype Trap While many investors were all-in on multifamily over the past decade, Kent’s diversification strategy helped him avoid the turbulence that’s hitting the market today. His approach? Uncorrelated asset classes, disciplined underwriting, and a commitment to transparency. The Future of Real Estate Investing With sponsors facing tighter lending conditions and rising rates shaking up the industry, Kent shares his predictions for where capital allocators should be focusing next. Plus, he reveals the biggest misconceptions about fund-of-funds investing and how the right allocator can enhance returns, not dilute them. *** If you’ve ever wondered how to invest with a capital allocator, this episode is your backstage pass to learning more. *** Explore the world of real estate capital allocators—a fresh approach to financing that’s reshaping the industry. In this series, I talk with allocators, investors, sponsors, and service providers to give you an inside look at this fast-growing space. PLUS, subscribe to my free newsletter for real estate investors and gain access to: * Introductions to sponsors, allocators, and investment opportunities. * Insights drawn from my 30+ years of experience in real estate investing. * Hacks and tactics for raising capital to help you scale your real estate portfolio. Visit GowerCrowd.com/subscribe
    Show more Show less
    50 mins
  • The Fastest Way to Build an Investor Network

    The Fastest Way to Build an Investor Network
    Apr 8 2025
    Randy Smith, my guest this week, didn’t start out in real estate—he was a high-performing sales executive in the corporate world. But after seeing the potential of passive investing, he made pivoted, leaving behind the W-2 grind to become a full-time capital allocator. Since then, Randy has raised over $13 million, partnering with sponsors to help investors secure better terms and stronger returns. The Allocator Advantage: Negotiating Better Terms for Investors Unlike a typical LP, Randy doesn’t just invest, he uses his position as an allocator to structure deals that benefit his investors. By pooling capital and leveraging his network, he’s able to negotiate better preferred returns, improved splits, and reduced fees - terms that individual investors couldn’t get on their own. In our conversation, you’ll hear how he evaluates opportunities, why he prioritizes fixed over floating-rate debt, and the strategic moves he’s making to protect investor capital in an uncertain market. Lessons from a Shifting Market Starting out in real estate right before the market turned has given Randy a crash course (if you’ll forgive the pun) in what works and what doesn’t. With some deals pausing distributions and others facing capital calls, he’s had to navigate a rapidly changing landscape while keeping investor returns top of mind. We talk about what he’s learned from deals that have struggled, why he’s more selective than ever about the sponsors he works with, and the red flags he watches for when evaluating a new opportunity. Building a High-Performing Investor Network Randy shares his approach to building an investor base, why he focuses on high-income sales professionals, and how he’s leveraged LinkedIn, masterminds, and podcast guest appearances to grow his network. He also talks about the common mistakes new allocators make and how he’s refining his outreach strategy to attract larger investors who are ready to deploy capital. *** If you want to get smarter about investing, learn how allocators negotiate better deals, or just hear some real talk about what’s working in today’s market, make sure to check out this episode. *** Explore the world of real estate capital allocators—a fresh approach to financing that’s reshaping the industry. In this series, I talk with allocators, investors, sponsors, and service providers to give you an inside look at this fast-growing space. PLUS, subscribe to my free newsletter for real estate investors and gain access to: * Introductions to sponsors, allocators, and investment opportunities. * Insights drawn from my 30+ years of experience in real estate investing. * Hacks and tactics for raising capital to help you scale your real estate portfolio. Visit GowerCrowd.com/subscribe
    Show more Show less
    55 mins
  • SEC Rules You Must Know

    SEC Rules You Must Know
    Apr 1 2025
    My guest this week, Franklin Spees, has worn just about every hat in the real estate game - lawyer, city planner, broker, property manager, investor, and now, a capital allocator. His path into commercial real estate syndications started with managing properties, evolved into structuring deals, and ultimately landed him in the allocator space, where he’s raised and deployed over $30 million into real estate deals across the country. The Capital Allocator Model – Friend or Foe? If you’ve ever wondered how the co-GP model really works (or why it’s under increasing scrutiny from regulators), Franklin breaks it all down. He explains the compliance challenges capital allocators face, why fund-to-fund structures are becoming the preferred model for institutional and retail investors alike, and the biggest mistakes new allocators make when structuring deals. With firsthand experience in fundraising, due diligence, and asset management, Franklin reveals the key metrics he looks for in a sponsor, how he negotiates better splits, and why transparency is crucial - especially in uncertain markets like today’s. Building an Investor Network Without Cold Calls Unlike many in the industry, Franklin didn’t build his investor base through paid ads or cold outreach. Instead, he leveraged his property management company and legal clients, many of whom were already real estate investors looking for smarter opportunities. He shares how anyone with an existing network can turn relationships into capital without the need for expensive marketing. Lessons from Market Cycles and Long-Term Investing Franklin’s seen the market at its peak and in its downturns, and he’s learned that patience and communication are everything. He discusses how investor expectations have shifted, why some deals are extending their hold periods, and how sponsors with strong operational teams will weather the storm. *** If you’re looking to understand the inner workings of capital allocation, this episode is a must-watch. Franklin’s insights could change the way you think about raising and deploying capital. *** Explore the world of real estate capital allocators—a fresh approach to financing that’s reshaping the industry. In this series, I talk with allocators, investors, sponsors, and service providers to give you an inside look at this fast-growing space. PLUS, subscribe to my free newsletter for real estate investors and gain access to: * Introductions to sponsors, allocators, and investment opportunities. * Insights drawn from my 30+ years of experience in real estate investing. * Hacks and tactics for raising capital to help you scale your real estate portfolio. Visit GowerCrowd.com/subscribe
    Show more Show less
    48 mins
adbl_web_global_use_to_activate_webcro768_stickypopup