Nate Silver built an innovative system for predicting baseball performance, predicted the 2008 election within a hair’s breadth, and became a national sensation as a blogger - all by the time he was 30. He solidified his standing as the nation's foremost political forecaster with his near perfect prediction of the 2012 election. Silver is the founder and editor in chief of the website FiveThirtyEight. Drawing on his own groundbreaking work, Silver examines the world of prediction, investigating how we can distinguish a true signal from a universe of noisy data.

Whether you want to Start, Re-Start or Reset your Sports Betting Endeavor this book will help. You will learn to Develop the mindset, and use the tools that give you the confidence to come out a winner and enjoy the experience. I will review the basics and even down to the types of bets. You’ll also learn or re-learn some forgotten systems that have made people a lot of money.

In Super Bowl XLIX, Seahawks coach Pete Carroll made one of the most controversial calls in football history: With 26 seconds remaining, and trailing by four at the Patriots' one-yard line, he called for a pass instead of a handing off to his star running back. The pass was intercepted, and the Seahawks lost. Critics called it the dumbest play in history. But was the call really that bad? Or did Carroll actually make a great move that was ruined by bad luck? Even the best decision doesn't yield the best outcome every time.

The world's greatest problem-solvers, forecasters, and decision-makers all rely on a set of frameworks and shortcuts that help them cut through complexity and separate good ideas from bad ones. They're called mental models, and you can find them in dense textbooks on psychology, physics, economics, and more. Or, you can just listen to Super Thinking, a fun, illustrated guide to every mental model you could possibly need.

Unfolding Poker: Advanced Answers to the Most Frequently Asked Poker Questions is the latest book by best-selling author James "SplitSuit" Sweeney. This book takes questions ranging from "How can I use my table image to my advantage?" to "What should I do when my continuation bets stop working?" and gives actionable answers that you can use in your next session.

Smacking some numbers onto a pie chart is old news and simply doesn't work anymore. Keeping your audience inspired and on the edge of their seats through an engaging data story is what we as business professionals should be striving to do. How to Win with Your Data Visualizations uncovers the fundamentals of what makes a winning data presentation and has laid them out in five easy-to-understand parts you can immediately apply to your next chart and presentation to see a winning data story unfold.

The mental game may be more important in poker than in any other form of competition. It's one of the only games in the world where you can play perfectly and lose-again and again. Hundreds of poker players have turned to mental game coach Jared Tendler's revolutionary approach to help them play their best, no matter how badly they're running. In this book you'll find simple, step-by-step instructions and proven techniques to permanently fix problems such as tilt, handling variance, emotional control, confidence, fear, and motivation.

The new era of gamification and human-focused design optimizes for motivation and engagement over traditional function-focused design. Within the industry, studies on game mechanics and behavioral psychology have become proliferate. However, few people understand how to merge the two fields into experience designs that reliably increases business metrics and generates a return on investment.

Wondering why the pay gap exists? Unfortunately, as a woman, you have to ask for money in a very specific way. So as to avoid the social backlash. But it’s ok to be afraid but just start negotiating. This book has a beginner-friendly yet extremely effective negotiation tactic that you can use from day 1, even if you’ve never negotiated before in your life, or even if you’re an introvert.

Negotiation is a skill people need to use every day. In this audio exclusive, learn the negotiation skills required to navigate difficult situations that arise in everyday life. From buying a car to purchasing a home, one needs to know how to effectively negotiate, especially when the other party is a seasoned professional. Harvard professor Joshua N. Weiss, PhD, gives us to tools to negotiate when we have a major stake in the game or when we're perceived as the "weak consumer."

Learn to play chess the fun and easy way while you learn what it takes to be successful in life. One Move at a Time reveals 20 proven ways to succeed at the game of kings—or at anything else you desire. It uses kid- and teen - friendly language to teach you fun, simple ways to memorize how the game is set up and how the pieces move; the "smart start" that gains you a quick advantage from your first few moves; seven strategies to turn beginning players into fast winners; and how to go for "the big win".

Chess is the ultimate turn-based strategy game. For centuries, it has honed the decision-making skills of kings and the strategic thinking of generals. Modern studies show that chess promotes brain development at any age, prevents Alzheimer's, and trains both sides of the brain to work in synergy. And today, learning chess is easier than you think!

Are you new to poker or a struggling poker player? Do you want to be a profitable poker player? Do you want to learn how to master the micro stakes? If so, this book is for you. If you’re a beginning, losing, break-even, or slightly winning micro stakes cash game player, this book was written for you. This book will teach you everything you need to know to master Six-Max No Limit Hold'em micro stakes cash games and turn nickels, dimes and quarters into hundreds of dollars of profit.

This new, expanded, fully updated and revised edition of Secrets of Professional Tournament Poker is a landmark in poker publishing. Originally published in two volumes in 2011 and 2012, this was both a critical and commercial success. Over the last decade, the understanding of poker has changed dramatically and this new edition fully reflects current thinking on the game.

AlphaBrain is the investor's guide to achieving more, doing better, and reaching higher. At its core, the magnitude of your success is based on the quality of your decisions. The problem is that human beings are poor decision-makers; we tend to approach problems after they arise instead of planning for them in advance. This book offers a way to understand and plan for the human mind's usual tendencies to help you make smarter investment decisions.

Imagine how different your life would be if you could avoid getting the worst out of every deal you negotiate in life. You will never quite know how much you have left on the table by lacking the negotiation skills to truly get the most out of your dealings. Whether it's negotiating that pay rise at work, attaining the best price for the house/car, or just simply getting more out of your daily interactions.

Game theory means rigorous strategic thinking. It’s the art of anticipating your opponent’s next moves, knowing full well that your rival is trying to do the same thing to you. Though parts of game theory involve simple common sense, much is counterintuitive, and it can only be mastered by developing a new way of seeing the world. Using a diverse array of rich case studies - from pop culture, TV, movies, sports, politics, and history - the authors show how nearly every business and personal interaction has a game-theory component to it.

Lower your scores, increase enjoyment. Are you struggling to take your golf game to the next level? Learn the philosophy that has helped thousands of players worldwide lower their scores and improve their relationship with golf. Swing tips come and go, but foundational golf skills last forever.

In The Little Book of Breaking 80, the author, a struggling amateur golfer who finally discovered the true keys to breaking 80 after more than 30 years of trial and error, blows the cover off of the hopelessly doomed conventional approach to golf improvement that keeps most golfers stuck on the endless merry-go-round of frustration and failure.

Negotiation is a skill people need to use every day. In this audio exclusive, learn the negotiation skills required to navigate difficult situations that arise in everyday life. From buying a car to purchasing a home, one needs to know how to effectively negotiate, especially when the other party is a seasoned professional. Harvard professor Joshua N. Weiss, PhD, gives us to tools to negotiate when we have a major stake in the game or when we're perceived as the "weak consumer."

Storytelling with Data teaches you the fundamentals of data visualization and how to communicate effectively with data. You'll discover the power of storytelling and the way to make data a pivotal point in your story. The lessons in this illuminative text are grounded in theory but made accessible through numerous real-world examples - ready for immediate application to your next graph or presentation.

From the simple to the intricate and the audacious to the absurd, Adam Kucharski reveals the long and tangled history between betting and science and explains why gambling continues to generate insights into luck and decision making today. Covering exploits and ideas from across the globe, he meets the teams behind hedge funds that capitalize on inaccurate sports betting odds and explains how PhD-level pundits are using methods originally developed for the US nuclear program to predict sports results.

To be a golfer is to tinker-with everything from equipment to grip to swing. But one thing most players don't give enough attention to is the mental game. Psychologists aren't a new phenomenon in golf, but Dr. Michael Lardon is a different breed of performance coach. Instead of sending his players into a losing battle against emotion, indecision, and fear on the golf course, he shows them how to organize their thoughts and use them for maximum performance.

You love Dungeons and Dragons. As an experienced dungeon master, you've run dozens, if not hundreds of games. You put a lot of work into making your games great. What if there's another way to look at how you prepare your game? What if it turned out you could spend less time and less energy and have a better game as a result? It's time to unleash the Lazy Dungeon Master.

Since he burst onto the scene as George St. Pierre’s grappling coach in the late 2000’s, John Danaher has risen to be recognized as one of the foremost minds in Brazilian Jiu-jitsu and competitive grappling. More than just a coach, Danaher has garnered a reputation as a philosopher of the art. His social media is read by hundreds of thousands, serving as daily inspiration for students around the world. Danaher is able to take the complex and often contradictory rules of jiu-jitsu and break them down into universal concepts.